Forecast lab
Scorecard
How every model family performs out of sample, by horizon and by target, and every production forecast that missed its interval. Misses stay visible; a model that fails should show it.
Modeled
Families by horizon
mean skill versus last value across targets (1 - MAE / MAE of last value), mean 80 percent coverage, and how many (target, horizon) cells the family is champion of
| Family | h = 1 | h = 2 | h = 3 | h = 5 | h = 6 | h = 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last value | 0.0% cov 81% · champion 2/9 | 0.0% cov 80% · champion 0/4 | 0.0% cov 84% · champion 2/5 | 0.0% cov 71% · champion 0/4 | 0.0% cov 79% · champion 2/5 | 0.0% cov 89% · champion 2/5 |
| Seasonal naive | -314.0% cov 83% · champion 1/5 | n/a | -85.7% cov 83% · champion 1/5 | n/a | -24.5% cov 85% · champion 1/5 | 0.0% cov 89% · champion 0/5 |
| Drift | 19.6% cov 74% · champion 0/9 | 37.2% cov 58% · champion 0/4 | 9.4% cov 79% · champion 2/5 | 34.5% cov 38% · champion 0/4 | -2.5% cov 77% · champion 2/5 | -14.4% cov 83% · champion 2/5 |
| Linear trend | -56.9% cov 69% · champion 0/9 | 54.6% cov 55% · champion 0/4 | -54.7% cov 75% · champion 0/5 | 60.5% cov 50% · champion 0/4 | -54.3% cov 75% · champion 0/5 | -102.5% cov 72% · champion 0/5 |
| Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) | 25.9% cov 74% · champion 4/9 | 54.0% cov 58% · champion 2/4 | -8.0% cov 81% · champion 0/5 | 66.6% cov 35% · champion 3/4 | -31.3% cov 84% · champion 0/5 | -75.2% cov 85% · champion 0/5 |
| Ridge regression on lags and drivers | 24.1% cov 73% · champion 2/8 | 53.9% cov 56% · champion 2/3 | 14.8% cov 79% · champion 0/5 | 59.8% cov 31% · champion 1/3 | 11.7% cov 77% · champion 0/5 | 15.6% cov 85% · champion 1/5 |
Every registered model
177 rows; a champion is promoted only by beating last value by at least 5 percent over the minimum cutoffs
| Target | H | Model | Status | Cutoffs | MAE | RMSE | Direction | 80% coverage | Skill vs last value | Live evaluations |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cereal-yield:WLD | 1 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 16 | 62.36 | 100.1 | 75% | 81% | 13.1% | none realised yet |
| cereal-yield:WLD | 1 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 16 | 74.25 | 110.9 | 75% | 81% | -3.5% | none realised yet |
| cereal-yield:WLD | 1 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 16 | 71.77 | 102.2 | 0% | 81% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| cereal-yield:WLD | 1 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 16 | 75.01 | 106.1 | 63% | 75% | -4.5% | none realised yet |
| cereal-yield:WLD | 1 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 16 | 65.1 | 103 | 75% | 81% | 9.3% | none realised yet |
| cereal-yield:WLD | 2 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 15 | 72.74 | 111.3 | 93% | 87% | 29.3% | none realised yet |
| cereal-yield:WLD | 2 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 15 | 99.22 | 131 | 93% | 80% | 3.6% | none realised yet |
| cereal-yield:WLD | 2 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 15 | 81.85 | 112.9 | 93% | 80% | 20.5% | none realised yet |
| cereal-yield:WLD | 2 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 15 | 102.9 | 127 | 0% | 87% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| cereal-yield:WLD | 2 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 15 | 90.98 | 121.9 | 87% | 67% | 11.6% | none realised yet |
| cereal-yield:WLD | 5 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 12 | 142.2 | 182 | 92% | 42% | 44.4% | none realised yet |
| cereal-yield:WLD | 5 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 12 | 170.1 | 225.2 | 92% | 42% | 33.5% | none realised yet |
| cereal-yield:WLD | 5 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 12 | 154.3 | 197.1 | 92% | 42% | 39.6% | none realised yet |
| cereal-yield:WLD | 5 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 12 | 255.7 | 274.3 | 0% | 83% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| cereal-yield:WLD | 5 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 12 | 158.3 | 217.4 | 92% | 50% | 38.1% | none realised yet |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD | 1 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 16 | 0.3139 | 0.4881 | 100% | 75% | 87.2% | none realised yet |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD | 1 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 16 | 0.6652 | 0.7877 | 100% | 81% | 72.8% | none realised yet |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD | 1 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 16 | 2.45 | 2.49 | 0% | 81% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD | 1 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 16 | 0.5595 | 0.7006 | 100% | 50% | 77.1% | none realised yet |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD | 2 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 15 | 0.5632 | 0.7726 | 100% | 67% | 88.5% | none realised yet |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD | 2 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 15 | 1.34 | 1.46 | 100% | 67% | 72.6% | none realised yet |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD | 2 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 15 | 4.88 | 4.92 | 0% | 60% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD | 2 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 15 | 0.7933 | 0.9657 | 100% | 53% | 83.7% | none realised yet |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD | 5 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 12 | 1.41 | 1.62 | 100% | 42% | 88.4% | none realised yet |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD | 5 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 12 | 3.4 | 3.46 | 100% | 50% | 72.0% | none realised yet |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD | 5 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 12 | 12.14 | 12.16 | 0% | 17% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD | 5 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 12 | 1.66 | 1.96 | 100% | 83% | 86.4% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 1 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 47 | 317.9 | 411.5 | 0% | 83% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 1 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 316.6 | 401.9 | 53% | 81% | 0.4% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 1 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 373.7 | 440.3 | 45% | 79% | -17.5% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 1 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 1,039 | 1,310 | 47% | 81% | -226.8% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 1 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 318.3 | 411.7 | 53% | 81% | -0.1% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 1 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 1,339 | 1,749 | 51% | 74% | -321.3% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 3 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 45 | 566.1 | 779.7 | 71% | 84% | 7.0% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 3 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 785.3 | 999.1 | 49% | 87% | -29.0% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 3 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 45 | 608.7 | 825.8 | 0% | 84% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 3 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 1,260 | 1,511 | 42% | 87% | -107.0% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 3 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 620.5 | 838.9 | 29% | 84% | -1.9% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 3 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 1,315 | 1,741 | 51% | 76% | -116.1% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 6 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 42 | 895.6 | 1,181 | 74% | 83% | 7.9% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 6 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 1,382 | 1,747 | 50% | 86% | -42.1% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 6 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 42 | 972.3 | 1,288 | 0% | 83% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 6 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 1,666 | 1,890 | 43% | 79% | -71.4% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 6 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 1,004 | 1,328 | 26% | 83% | -3.2% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 6 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 1,323 | 1,770 | 55% | 76% | -36.1% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 12 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 36 | 1,137 | 1,615 | 86% | 75% | 16.5% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 12 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 2,202 | 2,824 | 42% | 83% | -61.6% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 12 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 36 | 1,363 | 1,858 | 0% | 75% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 12 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 2,273 | 2,657 | 53% | 61% | -66.8% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 12 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 1,428 | 1,928 | 14% | 75% | -4.8% | none realised yet |
| copper-price:WLD | 12 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 1,363 | 1,858 | 0% | 75% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| life-expectancy:WLD | 1 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 16 | 0.2749 | 0.5593 | 88% | 56% | 35.2% | none realised yet |
| life-expectancy:WLD | 1 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 16 | 0.3376 | 0.5661 | 88% | 63% | 20.4% | none realised yet |
| life-expectancy:WLD | 1 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 16 | 0.3159 | 0.7165 | 88% | 50% | 25.5% | none realised yet |
| life-expectancy:WLD | 1 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 16 | 0.4241 | 0.5816 | 0% | 69% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| life-expectancy:WLD | 1 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 16 | 0.3475 | 0.577 | 75% | 31% | 18.1% | none realised yet |
| life-expectancy:WLD | 2 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 15 | 0.4183 | 0.7882 | 87% | 40% | 41.1% | none realised yet |
| life-expectancy:WLD | 2 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 15 | 0.5313 | 0.8209 | 87% | 47% | 25.2% | none realised yet |
| life-expectancy:WLD | 2 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 15 | 0.6215 | 1.23 | 73% | 60% | 12.5% | none realised yet |
| life-expectancy:WLD | 2 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 15 | 0.7105 | 0.8564 | 0% | 73% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| life-expectancy:WLD | 2 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 15 | 0.4207 | 0.6981 | 80% | 33% | 40.8% | none realised yet |
| life-expectancy:WLD | 5 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 12 | 0.5216 | 0.7164 | 92% | 8% | 47.0% | none realised yet |
| life-expectancy:WLD | 5 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 12 | 1.11 | 1.27 | 92% | 25% | -12.3% | none realised yet |
| life-expectancy:WLD | 5 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 12 | 0.9849 | 1.05 | 0% | 83% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| life-expectancy:WLD | 5 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 12 | 0.6484 | 0.9021 | 92% | 8% | 34.2% | none realised yet |
| life-expectancy:WLD | 5 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 12 | 0.5506 | 0.8158 | 92% | 8% | 44.1% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 1 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 46 | 0.4594 | 0.6532 | 96% | 85% | 47.4% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 1 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 46 | 0.4707 | 0.652 | 96% | 83% | 46.1% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 1 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 46 | 0.516 | 0.7626 | 96% | 91% | 40.9% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 1 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 46 | 0.8732 | 1.03 | 0% | 89% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 1 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 46 | 3.32 | 3.97 | 80% | 67% | -280.5% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 1 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 46 | 11.18 | 11.91 | 4% | 96% | -1180.9% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 3 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 44 | 0.8919 | 1.2 | 100% | 68% | 63.9% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 3 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 44 | 1.28 | 1.62 | 100% | 77% | 48.2% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 3 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 44 | 2.47 | 2.73 | 0% | 93% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 3 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 44 | 4.26 | 5.02 | 91% | 57% | -72.7% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 3 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 44 | 0.906 | 1.25 | 100% | 66% | 63.3% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 3 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 44 | 10.69 | 11.21 | 0% | 98% | -333.3% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 6 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 41 | 1.02 | 1.32 | 100% | 68% | 78.7% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 6 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 41 | 1.63 | 2.13 | 100% | 90% | 65.8% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 6 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 41 | 4.77 | 4.9 | 0% | 90% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 6 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 41 | 5.74 | 6.75 | 100% | 54% | -20.5% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 6 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 41 | 1.09 | 1.39 | 100% | 76% | 77.0% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 6 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 41 | 9.92 | 10.2 | 0% | 100% | -108.1% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 12 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 36 | 1.75 | 2.26 | 100% | 81% | 81.2% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 12 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 1.83 | 2.13 | 100% | 61% | 80.3% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 12 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 3.23 | 4.23 | 100% | 75% | 65.2% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 12 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 36 | 9.29 | 9.39 | 0% | 100% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 12 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 9.35 | 11.05 | 100% | 44% | -0.6% | none realised yet |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA | 12 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 9.29 | 9.39 | 0% | 100% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 1 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 47 | 10,851 | 13,498 | 96% | 87% | 65.0% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 1 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 31,090 | 36,296 | 47% | 72% | -0.3% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 1 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 32,186 | 37,624 | 26% | 74% | -3.8% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 1 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 47 | 31,005 | 36,231 | 0% | 72% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 1 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 34,929 | 42,093 | 57% | 77% | -12.7% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 1 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 28,299 | 33,982 | 64% | 72% | 8.7% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 3 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 45 | 10,931 | 13,549 | 84% | 89% | 79.2% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 3 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 52,650 | 65,260 | 53% | 82% | -0.3% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 3 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 56,069 | 69,669 | 20% | 80% | -6.9% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 3 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 45 | 52,472 | 64,853 | 0% | 82% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 3 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 35,310 | 42,592 | 87% | 78% | 32.7% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 3 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 45,020 | 58,589 | 60% | 89% | 14.2% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 6 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 42 | 11,292 | 13,931 | 95% | 86% | 70.6% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 6 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 39,213 | 49,203 | 43% | 79% | -2.1% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 6 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 45,616 | 57,765 | 26% | 79% | -18.7% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 6 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 42 | 38,425 | 48,578 | 0% | 79% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 6 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 32,661 | 38,800 | 67% | 79% | 15.0% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 6 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 37,824 | 47,850 | 55% | 79% | 1.6% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 12 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 36 | 9,312 | 11,452 | 78% | 89% | 13.6% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 12 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 24,565 | 28,646 | 42% | 89% | -128.0% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 12 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 36 | 10,776 | 13,434 | 0% | 89% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 12 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 30,891 | 36,409 | 67% | 83% | -186.7% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 12 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 9,738 | 12,462 | 72% | 92% | 9.6% | none realised yet |
| us-electricity-net-generation:USA | 12 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 10,776 | 13,434 | 0% | 89% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 1 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 47 | 79.79 | 103.9 | 74% | 74% | 16.0% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 1 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 94.99 | 118.9 | 53% | 74% | -0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 1 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 47 | 94.96 | 118.9 | 0% | 74% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 1 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 102.7 | 134.1 | 66% | 74% | -8.2% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 1 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 93.44 | 117.8 | 53% | 74% | 1.6% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 1 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 128.6 | 170.1 | 62% | 79% | -35.5% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 3 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 45 | 98.11 | 121.5 | 0% | 76% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 3 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 98.34 | 121.6 | 47% | 76% | -0.2% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 3 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 94.66 | 116 | 56% | 71% | 3.5% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 3 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 110.5 | 147.4 | 62% | 73% | -12.6% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 3 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 97.84 | 119.7 | 47% | 73% | 0.3% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 3 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 129.1 | 172 | 60% | 80% | -31.6% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 6 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 42 | 93.79 | 113 | 0% | 81% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 6 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 93.89 | 113.2 | 57% | 81% | -0.1% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 6 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 91.89 | 111.8 | 60% | 83% | 2.0% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 6 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 115.2 | 154.7 | 74% | 74% | -22.8% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 6 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 92.19 | 111.8 | 57% | 81% | 1.7% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 6 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 114 | 152.2 | 67% | 88% | -21.5% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 12 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 36 | 93.69 | 118.3 | 0% | 94% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 12 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 93.67 | 118.2 | 58% | 92% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 12 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 99.93 | 122.6 | 56% | 92% | -6.7% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 12 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 154.4 | 193.7 | 61% | 72% | -64.8% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 12 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 91.6 | 113.9 | 58% | 92% | 2.2% | none realised yet |
| us-housing-starts:USA | 12 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 93.69 | 118.3 | 0% | 94% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 1 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 47 | 0.4316 | 0.5501 | 0% | 83% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 1 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 0.4652 | 0.5853 | 51% | 83% | -7.8% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 1 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 0.5367 | 0.6854 | 43% | 87% | -24.4% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 1 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 1.09 | 1.33 | 49% | 94% | -152.1% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 1 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 0.4348 | 0.552 | 51% | 83% | -0.7% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 1 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 47 | 0.8517 | 1.02 | 60% | 77% | -97.3% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 3 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 45 | 0.64 | 0.7622 | 0% | 84% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 3 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 0.7895 | 0.983 | 51% | 84% | -23.4% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 3 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 0.9987 | 1.3 | 49% | 89% | -56.1% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 3 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 1.37 | 1.65 | 44% | 82% | -114.0% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 3 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 0.6524 | 0.7825 | 51% | 82% | -1.9% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 3 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 45 | 0.8117 | 0.96 | 60% | 73% | -26.8% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 6 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 42 | 0.6594 | 0.8798 | 0% | 62% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 6 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 64% | 74% | -96.9% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 6 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 1.74 | 2.21 | 48% | 83% | -163.6% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 6 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 1.79 | 2.09 | 45% | 93% | -171.6% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 6 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 0.7831 | 0.9428 | 64% | 67% | -18.8% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 6 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 42 | 0.8408 | 0.9846 | 45% | 74% | -27.5% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 12 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 36 | 0.9158 | 1.05 | 0% | 86% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 12 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 2.59 | 2.78 | 58% | 97% | -182.4% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 12 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 3.16 | 4.02 | 47% | 86% | -245.1% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 12 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 2.69 | 3.24 | 31% | 100% | -193.6% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 12 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 1.01 | 1.25 | 58% | 86% | -10.2% | none realised yet |
| us-industrial-production:USA | 12 | Seasonal naive models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 36 | 0.9158 | 1.05 | 0% | 86% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| world-population:WLD | 1 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 16 | 3,458,249 | 4,396,719 | 100% | 50% | 95.7% | none realised yet |
| world-population:WLD | 1 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 16 | 42,147,912 | 43,232,101 | 100% | 50% | 48.1% | none realised yet |
| world-population:WLD | 1 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 16 | 81,203,544 | 81,519,344 | 0% | 100% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| world-population:WLD | 1 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 16 | 18,330,381 | 22,564,954 | 100% | 69% | 77.4% | none realised yet |
| world-population:WLD | 1 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 16 | 7,231,864 | 9,955,672 | 100% | 50% | 91.1% | none realised yet |
| world-population:WLD | 2 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 15 | 8,984,994 | 10,834,692 | 100% | 27% | 94.5% | none realised yet |
| world-population:WLD | 2 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 15 | 85,607,977 | 87,696,122 | 100% | 40% | 47.4% | none realised yet |
| world-population:WLD | 2 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 15 | 162,619,610 | 163,220,596 | 0% | 100% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| world-population:WLD | 2 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 15 | 28,681,362 | 34,741,889 | 100% | 67% | 82.4% | none realised yet |
| world-population:WLD | 2 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 15 | 14,464,122 | 19,964,410 | 100% | 40% | 91.1% | none realised yet |
| world-population:WLD | 5 | Holt (exponential smoothing with additive trend) models_v1.targets_v1 | champion | 12 | 35,742,300 | 41,925,467 | 100% | 50% | 91.2% | none realised yet |
| world-population:WLD | 5 | Drift models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 12 | 225,271,426 | 229,591,978 | 100% | 33% | 44.6% | none realised yet |
| world-population:WLD | 5 | Last value models_v1.targets_v1 | baseline | 12 | 406,812,060 | 408,023,901 | 0% | 100% | 0.0% | none realised yet |
| world-population:WLD | 5 | Linear trend models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 12 | 67,857,265 | 78,527,034 | 100% | 58% | 83.3% | none realised yet |
| world-population:WLD | 5 | Ridge regression on lags and drivers models_v1.targets_v1 | challenger | 12 | 37,327,110 | 45,684,477 | 100% | 42% | 90.8% | none realised yet |
Interval misses
none recorded
No production forecast has missed its interval yet. About one in five should, over time; a rate far below that means the intervals are too wide, far above means they are too narrow.
Backtest history
one row per model per backtest window, newest first
| Model key | Window | Cutoffs | MAE | Skill | Computed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD:2:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 1.34 | 72.6% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD:5:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 3.4 | 72.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD:1:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 0.5595 | 77.1% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD:2:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 0.7933 | 83.7% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD:5:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 1.66 | 86.4% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD:1:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 0.3139 | 87.2% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD:2:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 0.5632 | 88.5% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD:5:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 1.41 | 88.4% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD:5:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 12.14 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD:1:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 2.45 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD:1:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 0.6652 | 72.8% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| co2-global-annual-mean:WLD:2:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 4.88 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| cereal-yield:WLD:1:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 74.25 | -3.5% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| cereal-yield:WLD:5:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 255.7 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| cereal-yield:WLD:1:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 71.77 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| cereal-yield:WLD:2:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 102.9 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| cereal-yield:WLD:5:ridge:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 142.2 | 44.4% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| cereal-yield:WLD:2:ridge:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 72.74 | 29.3% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| cereal-yield:WLD:1:ridge:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 65.1 | 9.3% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| cereal-yield:WLD:5:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 154.3 | 39.6% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| cereal-yield:WLD:2:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 81.85 | 20.5% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| cereal-yield:WLD:1:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 62.36 | 13.1% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| cereal-yield:WLD:5:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 158.3 | 38.1% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| cereal-yield:WLD:2:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 90.98 | 11.6% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| cereal-yield:WLD:1:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 75.01 | -4.5% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| cereal-yield:WLD:5:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 170.1 | 33.5% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| cereal-yield:WLD:2:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 99.22 | 3.6% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| life-expectancy:WLD:1:ridge:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 0.2749 | 35.2% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| life-expectancy:WLD:5:ridge:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 0.5506 | 44.1% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| life-expectancy:WLD:2:ridge:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 0.4183 | 41.1% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| life-expectancy:WLD:5:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 0.5216 | 47.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| life-expectancy:WLD:2:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 0.6215 | 12.5% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| life-expectancy:WLD:1:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 0.3159 | 25.5% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| life-expectancy:WLD:5:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 0.6484 | 34.2% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| life-expectancy:WLD:2:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 0.4207 | 40.8% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| life-expectancy:WLD:1:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 0.3475 | 18.1% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| life-expectancy:WLD:5:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 1.11 | -12.3% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| life-expectancy:WLD:2:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 0.5313 | 25.2% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| life-expectancy:WLD:1:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 0.3376 | 20.4% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| life-expectancy:WLD:5:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 0.9849 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| life-expectancy:WLD:2:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 0.7105 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| life-expectancy:WLD:1:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2008-01-01..2023-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 0.4241 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| world-population:WLD:2:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 28,681,362 | 82.4% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| world-population:WLD:1:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 18,330,381 | 77.4% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| world-population:WLD:5:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 225,271,426 | 44.6% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| world-population:WLD:2:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 85,607,977 | 47.4% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| world-population:WLD:1:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 42,147,912 | 48.1% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| world-population:WLD:5:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 406,812,060 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| world-population:WLD:2:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 162,619,610 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| world-population:WLD:1:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 81,203,544 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| world-population:WLD:2:ridge:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 14,464,122 | 91.1% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| world-population:WLD:1:ridge:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 7,231,864 | 91.1% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| world-population:WLD:5:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 35,742,300 | 91.2% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| world-population:WLD:5:ridge:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 37,327,110 | 90.8% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| world-population:WLD:2:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 15 | 8,984,994 | 94.5% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| world-population:WLD:1:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 16 | 3,458,249 | 95.7% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| world-population:WLD:5:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2009-01-01..2024-01-01 (first_ingested) | 12 | 67,857,265 | 83.3% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:12:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 36 | 1.83 | 80.3% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:6:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 41 | 1.02 | 78.7% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:6:seasonal_naive:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 41 | 9.92 | -108.1% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:3:seasonal_naive:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 44 | 10.69 | -333.3% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:1:seasonal_naive:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 46 | 11.18 | -1180.9% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:12:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 36 | 9.29 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:6:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 41 | 4.77 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:3:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 44 | 2.47 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:3:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 44 | 0.8919 | 63.9% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:1:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 46 | 0.8732 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:12:seasonal_naive:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 36 | 9.29 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:12:ridge:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 36 | 1.75 | 81.2% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:6:ridge:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 41 | 1.09 | 77.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:3:ridge:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 44 | 0.906 | 63.3% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:1:ridge:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 46 | 0.4594 | 47.4% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:12:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 36 | 3.23 | 65.2% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:6:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 41 | 1.63 | 65.8% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:3:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 44 | 1.28 | 48.2% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:1:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 46 | 0.516 | 40.9% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:12:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 36 | 9.35 | -0.6% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:6:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 41 | 5.74 | -20.5% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:1:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 46 | 0.4707 | 46.1% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:3:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 44 | 4.26 | -72.7% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| us-cpi-all-items:USA:1:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-07-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 46 | 3.32 | -280.5% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:1:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 47 | 373.7 | -17.5% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:1:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 47 | 316.6 | 0.4% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:1:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 47 | 317.9 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:3:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 45 | 608.7 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:6:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 42 | 972.3 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:12:last_value:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 36 | 1,363 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:1:seasonal_naive:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 47 | 1,339 | -321.3% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:3:seasonal_naive:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 45 | 1,315 | -116.1% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:6:seasonal_naive:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 42 | 1,323 | -36.1% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:12:seasonal_naive:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 36 | 1,363 | 0.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:3:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 45 | 566.1 | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:6:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 42 | 895.6 | 7.9% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:12:drift:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 36 | 1,137 | 16.5% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:1:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 47 | 1,039 | -226.8% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:3:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 45 | 1,260 | -107.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:6:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 42 | 1,666 | -71.4% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:12:linear_trend:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 36 | 2,273 | -66.8% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:3:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 45 | 785.3 | -29.0% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |
| copper-price:WLD:6:holt:models_v1.targets_v1 | 2022-08-01..2026-06-01 (first_ingested) | 42 | 1,382 | -42.1% | 2026-09-07 22:16 UTC |