Future navigator
Navigator
Nine questions per topic, answered from stored observations, mechanisms and evaluated forecasts: what changed, how unusual it is, why it might be happening, what has not changed, what absorbs the shock, what response is underway, the scenarios a forecast supports, what to watch, and how well the topic has been forecast. Each page is a weekly snapshot; missing series are stated, not filled.
Is US electricity demand outrunning the capacity being built to serve it?
US electricity net generation was 354,690.53 million kilowatthours in 2026-05-01, up 3.1 percent over one year, a move at the 65th percentile of its one-year changes.
Can copper supply keep pace with grids, vehicles and data centres, or is a physical shortage forming?
Copper mine production was 23,000 thousand metric tons in 2025, unchanged over one year.
Is the physical capacity behind AI (fabs, power, materials) expanding fast enough to meet announced demand?
No stored series for silicon-metal-production yet (metric is registered but not published); the page shows what is available.
Global food supply
Is world food supply keeping ahead of population, and what happens to it if fertilizer gets scarce?
Cereal yield was 3,954.95 kg per hectare in 2024, down 6.5 percent over one year, a move at the 100th percentile of its one-year changes.
Is US home building recovering, and what is holding it back?
US housing starts was 1,239 thousands of units, seasonally adjusted annual rate in 2026-07-01, down 13.5 percent over one year, a move at the 57th percentile of its one-year changes.
How fast is humanity growing and living longer, and is either trend changing?
World population was 8.22B people in 2025, up 0.9 percent over one year, a move at the 23rd percentile of its one-year changes.
Is atmospheric CO2 still accelerating, and is the capacity being built enough to change that?
Atmospheric CO2, global annual mean was 425.62 ppm in 2025, up 0.7 percent over one year, a move at the 96th percentile of its one-year changes.
How fast is humanity's capacity to reach orbit growing, and how concentrated is it?
No stored series for orbital-launches yet (held back until the metric is published); the page shows what is available.
Tone rule: calm, precise, non-sensational. The navigator distinguishes risk from certainty, shortage from permanent scarcity, a price spike from physical depletion, and a delay from structural incapacity. It assigns no probability unless a forecast record provides one. Method in methods.