HUMANITYVECTOR

Civilization vector

Ten dimensions, measured separately

Human progress is multidimensional. A society can gain health while losing resilience, or add energy while degrading the systems that sustain it. The site therefore publishes a vector of dimensions, not a score, and for now publishes only the components of each dimension that have real observations.

No aggregate vector and no direction arrows are published yet. The arrows in the design pack are an illustration of a future display. Until the normalisation, coverage rule and weights for each dimension are implemented and versioned on the Methods page, each dimension shows only its component metrics: the ones that are ingested, with their computed one-year change, and the ones that are not.

Coverage

Component metrics ingested

world geography, current values
Components live
14 / 59
Dimensions with any live component
8 / 10
Dimensions with a published aggregate
0
  1. 01Human Life2/5
  2. 02Energy1/6
  3. 03Production2/6
  4. 04Knowledge3/5
  5. 05Compute0/5
  6. 06Abundance2/7
  7. 07Sustainability2/6
  8. 08Infrastructure1/6
  9. 09Resilience0/7
  10. 10Space Expansion1/6

01 vector dimension

Human Life

ObjectiveMore people living longer, healthier lives, with fewer preventable deaths.

2 / 5components live

3 candidate components are not ingested yet. No aggregate is computed until a formula is versioned.

Homepage headline metric

Life expectancy at birth Observed

73.48years2024

improving+0.21%1yimproving+0.24%10y CAGR
Ingestedfresh

Browse Human Life

Candidate component metrics

  • Healthy life expectancy
    not yet ingested
    healthy-life-expectancy
  • 73.48years2024
    improving+0.21%1yObserved
  • Under-5 mortality ratedirection reversed
    37.4deaths per 1,000 live births2024
    improving-2.35%1yObserved
  • Maternal mortality ratiodirection reversed
    not yet ingested
    maternal-mortality
  • Preventable mortalitydirection reversed
    not yet ingested
    preventable-mortality

“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.

02 vector dimension

Energy

ObjectiveMore reliable, affordable energy available to each person.

1 / 6components live

5 candidate components are not ingested yet. No aggregate is computed until a formula is versioned.

Homepage headline metric

Population with access to electricity Observed

91.93percent of population2024

improving+0.35%1yimproving+0.65%10y CAGR
Ingestedfresh

Browse Energy

Candidate component metrics

  • Electricity generation per person
    not yet ingested
    electricity-per-person
  • 91.93percent of population2024
    improving+0.35%1yObserved
  • Primary energy per person

    contextual on its own

    not yet ingested
    energy-per-person
  • Generating capacity per person
    not yet ingested
    generating-capacity-per-person
  • Energy cost proxydirection reversed
    not yet ingested
    energy-cost-proxy
  • Transmission and storage capability
    not yet ingested
    transmission-storage-capability

“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.

03 vector dimension

Production

ObjectiveGreater capacity to make physical goods and useful output per person.

2 / 6components live

4 candidate components are not ingested yet. No aggregate is computed until a formula is versioned.

Homepage headline metric

GDP per person, constant 2015 US$ Observed

12,130.66constant 2015 US$ per person2025

improving+1.99%1yimproving+1.76%10y CAGR
Ingestedfresh

Browse Production

Candidate component metrics

  • GDP per person, constant 2015 US$

    output of the whole economy per person; the only live proxy today

    12,130.66constant 2015 US$ per person2025
    improving+1.99%1yObserved
  • Manufacturing value added per person
    not yet ingested
    manufacturing-value-added-per-person
  • Industrial production index
    not yet ingested
    industrial-production-index
  • Crude steel production

    contextual

    not yet ingested
    steel-production
  • Cement production

    contextual

    not yet ingested
    cement-production
  • 26.29percent of GDP2024
    contextual-1.39%1yObserved

“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.

04 vector dimension

Knowledge

ObjectiveMore research effort, more researchers, more discovery and invention.

3 / 5components live

2 candidate components are not ingested yet. No aggregate is computed until a formula is versioned.

Homepage headline metric

R&D expenditure as share of GDP Observed

2.6percent of GDP2023

improving+1.02%1yimproving+2.78%10y CAGR
Ingestedfresh

Browse Science & Knowledge

Candidate component metrics

  • 2.6percent of GDP2023
    improving+1.02%1yObserved
  • 1,651.59researchers per million people2020
    no earlier period to compare1yObserved
  • Patent applications

    contextual, activity not quality

    3.4Mapplications per year2021
    contextual+3.63%1yDerived
  • Scientific publications
    not yet ingested
    scientific-publications
  • Clinical trials registered
    not yet ingested
    clinical-trials

“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.

05 vector dimension

Compute

ObjectiveMore computational capacity, cheaper, available to more of humanity.

0 / 5components live

No candidate component for this dimension has been ingested. Nothing is shown in its place.

No headline metric is ingested for this dimension, so its homepage card shows an empty state.

Browse Compute & AI

Candidate component metrics

  • Data center power capacity

    will be modeled from multiple sources

    not yet ingested
    datacenter-power
  • Compute capacity per person

    will be modeled

    not yet ingested
    compute-per-person
  • Semiconductor wafer capacity
    not yet ingested
    semiconductor-wafer-capacity
  • Accelerator shipments
    not yet ingested
    accelerator-shipments
  • Industrial robot installations
    not yet ingested
    industrial-robot-installations

“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.

06 vector dimension

Abundance

ObjectiveMore food, water, energy and materials available per person, and fewer people in scarcity.

2 / 7components live

5 candidate components are not ingested yet. No aggregate is computed until a formula is versioned.

No headline metric is ingested for this dimension, so its homepage card shows an empty state.

Candidate component metrics

  • Calories available per person
    not yet ingested
    calories-per-person
  • Food production index
    not yet ingested
    food-production-index
  • 3,954.95kg per hectare2024
    worsening-6.52%1yObserved
  • 5,392.94cubic metres per person per year2022
    worsening-0.69%1yObserved
  • Primary energy per person
    not yet ingested
    energy-per-person
  • Extreme poverty sharedirection reversed
    not yet ingested
    extreme-poverty-share
  • Undernourishmentdirection reversed
    not yet ingested
    undernourishment

“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.

07 vector dimension

Sustainability

ObjectiveCapability that grows without degrading the systems that sustain life and future choice.

2 / 6components live

4 candidate components are not ingested yet. No aggregate is computed until a formula is versioned.

Homepage headline metric

CO2 emissions per person Observed

4.69tonnes CO2 per person2024

contextual+0.35%1ycontextual-0.18%10y CAGR
Ingestedfresh

Browse Environment & Regeneration

Candidate component metrics

  • CO2 emissions per person

    contextual, tracks energy use as well as climate impact

    4.69tonnes CO2 per person2024
    contextual+0.35%1yObserved
  • 32.87micrograms per cubic metre2023
    worsening+0.43%1yObserved
  • Forest area
    not yet ingested
    forest-area
  • Material intensity of GDPdirection reversed
    not yet ingested
    material-intensity
  • Recycling rate
    not yet ingested
    recycling-rate
  • Temperature and climate indicators

    contextual

    not yet ingested
    climate-indicators

“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.

08 vector dimension

Infrastructure

ObjectiveBetter networks for moving people, goods, energy and information.

1 / 6components live

5 candidate components are not ingested yet. No aggregate is computed until a formula is versioned.

Homepage headline metric

Population using the Internet Observed

73.6percent of population2025

improving+3.37%1yimproving+6.31%10y CAGR
Ingestedfresh

Browse Infrastructure & Logistics

Candidate component metrics

  • 73.6percent of population2025
    improving+3.37%1yObserved
  • Fixed broadband subscriptions
    not yet ingested
    broadband-subscriptions
  • Transmission line capacity
    not yet ingested
    transmission-capacity
  • Port and rail throughput
    not yet ingested
    freight-throughput
  • Air passengers carried
    not yet ingested
    air-passengers
  • Safely managed drinking water
    not yet ingested
    safely-managed-water

“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.

09 vector dimension

Resilience

ObjectiveFewer single points of failure and less dangerous concentration in critical systems.

0 / 7components live

No candidate component for this dimension has been ingested. Nothing is shown in its place.

No headline metric is ingested for this dimension, so its homepage card shows an empty state.

Browse Resilience

Candidate component metrics

  • Copper production top-3 country concentrationdirection reversed
    not yet ingested
    copper-top3-concentration
  • Critical input concentrationdirection reversed
    not yet ingested
    critical-input-concentration
  • Electricity reserve margin
    not yet ingested
    electricity-reserve-margin
  • Food import concentrationdirection reversed
    not yet ingested
    food-import-concentration
  • Semiconductor manufacturing concentrationdirection reversed
    not yet ingested
    semiconductor-concentration
  • Disaster mortalitydirection reversed
    not yet ingested
    disaster-mortality
  • Geographic redundancy of critical capability

    will require modeling

    not yet ingested
    geographic-redundancy

“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.

10 vector dimension

Space Expansion

ObjectiveProgress from exploration to permanent, then independently survivable, human presence beyond Earth.

1 / 6components live

5 candidate components are not ingested yet. No aggregate is computed until a formula is versioned.

Homepage headline metric

Independently survivable human worlds Derived

1worlds2026

no earlier period to compare1yno earlier period to compare10y CAGR
Ingestedfresh

Browse Space Expansion

Candidate component metrics

  • Orbital launch attempts per year
    not yet ingested
    orbital-launches
  • Payload mass delivered to orbit

    will be modeled from multiple launch sources

    not yet ingested
    payload-mass-to-orbit
  • Human-days in space per year
    not yet ingested
    human-days-in-space
  • Humans in space
    not yet ingested
    humans-in-space
  • Off-Earth power generated
    not yet ingested
    off-earth-power
  • 1worlds2026
    no earlier period to compare1yDerived

“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.

Before any arrow appears

What has to exist first

  1. 1

    A documented component set

    A small, named list of component metrics per dimension, each with its direction transform written down.

  2. 2

    A versioned formula

    The change windows, normalisation against historically interpretable ranges, the minimum coverage before aggregation, and the weights, published on the Methods page with a version and effective date.

  3. 3

    Enough ingested components

    Aggregation only when the coverage rule is met. Dimensions below it keep showing components only, as this page does now.

Alternative weight sets (equal weights, published expert sets, reader-chosen) are planned so that a conclusion can be shown to change, or not, under different priorities. None exists yet. What we deliberately do not do yet.