Civilization vector
Ten dimensions, measured separately
Human progress is multidimensional. A society can gain health while losing resilience, or add energy while degrading the systems that sustain it. The site therefore publishes a vector of dimensions, not a score, and for now publishes only the components of each dimension that have real observations.
Coverage
Component metrics ingested
- Components live
- 14 / 59
- Dimensions with any live component
- 8 / 10
- Dimensions with a published aggregate
- 0
01 vector dimension
Human Life
ObjectiveMore people living longer, healthier lives, with fewer preventable deaths.
2 / 5components live
3 candidate components are not ingested yet. No aggregate is computed until a formula is versioned.
Homepage headline metric
Life expectancy at birth Observed
73.48years2024
Candidate component metrics
- Healthy life expectancynot yet ingestedhealthy-life-expectancy
- 73.48years2024improving+0.21%1yObserved
- Under-5 mortality ratedirection reversed37.4deaths per 1,000 live births2024improving-2.35%1yObserved
- Maternal mortality ratiodirection reversednot yet ingestedmaternal-mortality
- Preventable mortalitydirection reversednot yet ingestedpreventable-mortality
“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.
02 vector dimension
Energy
ObjectiveMore reliable, affordable energy available to each person.
1 / 6components live
5 candidate components are not ingested yet. No aggregate is computed until a formula is versioned.
Homepage headline metric
Population with access to electricity Observed
91.93percent of population2024
Candidate component metrics
- Electricity generation per personnot yet ingestedelectricity-per-person
- 91.93percent of population2024improving+0.35%1yObserved
- Primary energy per person
contextual on its own
not yet ingestedenergy-per-person - Generating capacity per personnot yet ingestedgenerating-capacity-per-person
- Energy cost proxydirection reversednot yet ingestedenergy-cost-proxy
- Transmission and storage capabilitynot yet ingestedtransmission-storage-capability
“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.
03 vector dimension
Production
ObjectiveGreater capacity to make physical goods and useful output per person.
2 / 6components live
4 candidate components are not ingested yet. No aggregate is computed until a formula is versioned.
Homepage headline metric
GDP per person, constant 2015 US$ Observed
12,130.66constant 2015 US$ per person2025
Candidate component metrics
- GDP per person, constant 2015 US$
output of the whole economy per person; the only live proxy today
12,130.66constant 2015 US$ per person2025improving+1.99%1yObserved - Manufacturing value added per personnot yet ingestedmanufacturing-value-added-per-person
- Industrial production indexnot yet ingestedindustrial-production-index
- Crude steel production
contextual
not yet ingestedsteel-production - Cement production
contextual
not yet ingestedcement-production - Gross capital formation as share of GDP
contextual
26.29percent of GDP2024contextual-1.39%1yObserved
“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.
04 vector dimension
Knowledge
ObjectiveMore research effort, more researchers, more discovery and invention.
3 / 5components live
2 candidate components are not ingested yet. No aggregate is computed until a formula is versioned.
Homepage headline metric
R&D expenditure as share of GDP Observed
2.6percent of GDP2023
Candidate component metrics
- 2.6percent of GDP2023improving+1.02%1yObserved
- 1,651.59researchers per million people2020no earlier period to compare1yObserved
- Patent applications
contextual, activity not quality
3.4Mapplications per year2021contextual+3.63%1yDerived - Scientific publicationsnot yet ingestedscientific-publications
- Clinical trials registerednot yet ingestedclinical-trials
“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.
05 vector dimension
Compute
ObjectiveMore computational capacity, cheaper, available to more of humanity.
0 / 5components live
No candidate component for this dimension has been ingested. Nothing is shown in its place.
No headline metric is ingested for this dimension, so its homepage card shows an empty state.
Candidate component metrics
- Data center power capacity
will be modeled from multiple sources
not yet ingesteddatacenter-power - Compute capacity per person
will be modeled
not yet ingestedcompute-per-person - Semiconductor wafer capacitynot yet ingestedsemiconductor-wafer-capacity
- Accelerator shipmentsnot yet ingestedaccelerator-shipments
- Industrial robot installationsnot yet ingestedindustrial-robot-installations
“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.
06 vector dimension
Abundance
ObjectiveMore food, water, energy and materials available per person, and fewer people in scarcity.
2 / 7components live
5 candidate components are not ingested yet. No aggregate is computed until a formula is versioned.
No headline metric is ingested for this dimension, so its homepage card shows an empty state.
Candidate component metrics
- Calories available per personnot yet ingestedcalories-per-person
- Food production indexnot yet ingestedfood-production-index
- 3,954.95kg per hectare2024worsening-6.52%1yObserved
- 5,392.94cubic metres per person per year2022worsening-0.69%1yObserved
- Primary energy per personnot yet ingestedenergy-per-person
- Extreme poverty sharedirection reversednot yet ingestedextreme-poverty-share
- Undernourishmentdirection reversednot yet ingestedundernourishment
“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.
07 vector dimension
Sustainability
ObjectiveCapability that grows without degrading the systems that sustain life and future choice.
2 / 6components live
4 candidate components are not ingested yet. No aggregate is computed until a formula is versioned.
Homepage headline metric
CO2 emissions per person Observed
4.69tonnes CO2 per person2024
Candidate component metrics
- CO2 emissions per person
contextual, tracks energy use as well as climate impact
4.69tonnes CO2 per person2024contextual+0.35%1yObserved - PM2.5 air pollution exposuredirection reversed32.87micrograms per cubic metre2023worsening+0.43%1yObserved
- Forest areanot yet ingestedforest-area
- Material intensity of GDPdirection reversednot yet ingestedmaterial-intensity
- Recycling ratenot yet ingestedrecycling-rate
- Temperature and climate indicators
contextual
not yet ingestedclimate-indicators
“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.
08 vector dimension
Infrastructure
ObjectiveBetter networks for moving people, goods, energy and information.
1 / 6components live
5 candidate components are not ingested yet. No aggregate is computed until a formula is versioned.
Homepage headline metric
Population using the Internet Observed
73.6percent of population2025
Candidate component metrics
- 73.6percent of population2025improving+3.37%1yObserved
- Fixed broadband subscriptionsnot yet ingestedbroadband-subscriptions
- Transmission line capacitynot yet ingestedtransmission-capacity
- Port and rail throughputnot yet ingestedfreight-throughput
- Air passengers carriednot yet ingestedair-passengers
- Safely managed drinking waternot yet ingestedsafely-managed-water
“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.
09 vector dimension
Resilience
ObjectiveFewer single points of failure and less dangerous concentration in critical systems.
0 / 7components live
No candidate component for this dimension has been ingested. Nothing is shown in its place.
No headline metric is ingested for this dimension, so its homepage card shows an empty state.
Candidate component metrics
- Copper production top-3 country concentrationdirection reversednot yet ingestedcopper-top3-concentration
- Critical input concentrationdirection reversednot yet ingestedcritical-input-concentration
- Electricity reserve marginnot yet ingestedelectricity-reserve-margin
- Food import concentrationdirection reversednot yet ingestedfood-import-concentration
- Semiconductor manufacturing concentrationdirection reversednot yet ingestedsemiconductor-concentration
- Disaster mortalitydirection reversednot yet ingesteddisaster-mortality
- Geographic redundancy of critical capability
will require modeling
not yet ingestedgeographic-redundancy
“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.
10 vector dimension
Space Expansion
ObjectiveProgress from exploration to permanent, then independently survivable, human presence beyond Earth.
1 / 6components live
5 candidate components are not ingested yet. No aggregate is computed until a formula is versioned.
Homepage headline metric
Independently survivable human worlds Derived
1worlds2026
Candidate component metrics
- Orbital launch attempts per yearnot yet ingestedorbital-launches
- Payload mass delivered to orbit
will be modeled from multiple launch sources
not yet ingestedpayload-mass-to-orbit - Human-days in space per yearnot yet ingestedhuman-days-in-space
- Humans in spacenot yet ingestedhumans-in-space
- Off-Earth power generatednot yet ingestedoff-earth-power
- 1worlds2026no earlier period to compare1yDerived
“Direction reversed” marks components where a lower value moves the dimension toward its objective; the reversal would apply only inside a future aggregate. Candidate lists come from the build pack and will change as sources are added.
Before any arrow appears
What has to exist first
- 1
A documented component set
A small, named list of component metrics per dimension, each with its direction transform written down.
- 2
A versioned formula
The change windows, normalisation against historically interpretable ranges, the minimum coverage before aggregation, and the weights, published on the Methods page with a version and effective date.
- 3
Enough ingested components
Aggregation only when the coverage rule is met. Dimensions below it keep showing components only, as this page does now.
Alternative weight sets (equal weights, published expert sets, reader-chosen) are planned so that a conclusion can be shown to change, or not, under different priorities. None exists yet. What we deliberately do not do yet.