HUMANITYVECTOR

Independently survivable human worlds

Derived

Number of worlds where a human population could sustain itself indefinitely with no resupply from Earth.

Ingestedfrom Humanity VectorfreshJSON export
Current value, World
1worlds
period 2026
Geography
World (WLD)
Observation date
2026
Unit
worlds
Frequency
annual
Ingested
2026-09-07 05:31 UTC
1-year change--not enough data: no observation for 2025 to compare with 2026
10-year trend--not enough data: no observation for 2016 to compare with 2026
Historical series

Independently survivable human worlds, World

Derived
0.90.9511.051.12026WORLDS1
1 observation, 2026 to 2026latest point emphasised
Data table (1 rows)
Independently survivable human worlds, World: 1 observation from 2026 to 2026, values from 1 to 1 worlds. Latest 1 worlds in 2026. Full data table below.
PeriodValue (worlds)Source revisionIngested at
20261v1.02026-09-07 05:31 UTC
1 geographies have observations for this metric
Humanity Vector, Humanity Vector documented derivations, series independently-survivable-human-worlds@1.0
Definition

What this measures

A world counts only if its human population could sustain itself indefinitely with no resupply from Earth in energy, food, water, breathable air, manufacturing and medicine. The count is an assessment against published criteria, not a measurement from a single instrument, which is why it is classified as derived. Today only Earth qualifies. The metric exists to make the single planetary point of failure visible and to track the long transition from exploration to permanent off-Earth capability.

Direction
higher is better
Geography level
world
Slug
independently-survivable-human-worlds
Space Expansion

Related metrics

No other metrics in this category yet.

All Space Expansion metrics

Provenance and methodologysource, series, ingestion, revisions
Classification
Derivedcomputed by a versioned formula over observed values
Source organization
Humanity Vector, Humanity Vector documented derivations
Series ID
independently-survivable-human-worlds@1.0
Source links
License and attribution
Public display approved
Humanity Vector, derived from cited sources, formulas published on the metric page
Last source update
v1.0(source revision label as published by the provider)
Last ingestion
last successful runfresh
Last run
success2026-09-07 05:31 UTC
Parser version
humanity-vector-derived/1.0.0
Methodology version
1.0
Formula
count(worlds meeting all independence criteria)
Method versions
Version 1.0, effective 2026-01-01 00:00 UTCcount(worlds where every independence criterion is met)

Independently survivable human worlds, version 1.0

Definition. A world is counted only if it hosts a human population that could sustain itself indefinitely with no resupply from Earth. Every criterion below must hold at the same time, with no time limit, for the whole resident population:

  1. Energy. Generates all the energy it consumes from local resources, including the energy needed to maintain and replace its own generating equipment.
  2. Food. Produces all calories, protein and micronutrients its population needs from local agriculture or synthesis, including seed stock, inputs and the equipment to keep producing.
  3. Water. Sources, purifies and recycles all water needed for drinking, agriculture and industry from local supplies.
  4. Air. Maintains a breathable atmosphere for its population indefinitely, whether naturally or through locally built and locally maintained life support.
  5. Manufacturing. Can fabricate replacement parts for every system it depends on, from raw materials extracted locally, including the machines that make the machines.
  6. Medicine. Can produce essential medicines, medical equipment and train medical staff locally at a level that keeps the population viable across generations.

Population viability also requires a population large and diverse enough to persist across generations; this version does not set a numeric threshold because no candidate beyond Earth is close to the other criteria.

Assessment as of 2026-01-01. Earth meets all criteria. No station, base or settlement beyond Earth meets any of criteria 1 to 6 without resupply. Count = 1.

Unit. Worlds (integer count).

Update rule. The value is reassessed annually and whenever a candidate settlement publishes evidence against the criteria. A change in the count requires a new methodology version citing that evidence. Partial progress (for example a base that is energy independent but not food independent) does not change the count; it belongs in separate progress metrics.

Quality and confidence
Assessment by Humanity Vector against the criteria in the methodology. Any change to the count will be accompanied by a new methodology version with evidence.
Ingestion rejects values outside 0 to 100 worlds.
1 periods with values for this geography, 2026 to 2026.
Revisions
Values reported for the latest period (2026) by each source revision ingested. Earlier rows are never deleted; the newest ingested row is shown as current.
Source revisionValue (worlds)Ingested atStatus
v1.012026-09-07 05:31 UTCcurrent
No superseded rows for this geography: every period has been ingested once.
Independently survivable human worlds | Humanity Vector