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Objective explorer, phase 4.0

Objectives

Pick an objective and the engine works backwards: the level today, the level the objective implies, the pace that would take, how that compares with the trailing five years and with the Forecast Lab, and what the dependency graph says would have to move. Ranges and constraint lists, not one answer; no objective here is treated as humanity's goal.

Objectives
5
Analysed
5

Weekly snapshots from the objectives.analyze job

Curated objectives

  • Double US electricity generation by 2040

    Behind the required pace3.8x recent

    What would have to happen for the United States to generate twice as much electricity in 2040 as it does today?

    Current
    4.47Mmillion kilowatthoursDerived
    Target, 2040
    8.93MDerived
    Required pace
    319,064.78million kilowatthours per yearDerived
    Recent pace
    83,082.92million kilowatthours per yearDerived

    5 constraints walked, snapshot 2026-09-07 22:37 UTC, AI narrative attached

  • Double global compute capacity by 2035

    Pace not computable

    What would have to happen for the world's AI compute capacity to double by 2035?

    Current
    unavailableModeled
    Target, 2035
    unavailableDerived
    Required pace
    unavailableDerived
    Recent pace
    unavailableDerived

    No stored series measures global compute or data-center power capacity yet; the catalog has no observed metric for it. The level is marked modeled and unavailable, the required pace is not computed, and the AI infrastructure corporate pulse stands in as the only response signal.

    13 constraints walked, snapshot 2026-09-07 22:37 UTC

  • Double global copper mine production by 2040

    Behind the required pace

    What would have to happen for world copper mine production to double by 2040?

    Current
    23,000thousand metric tonsObserved
    Target, 2040
    46,000Derived
    Required pace
    1,533.33thousand metric tons per yearDerived
    Recent pace
    0thousand metric tons per yearDerived

    0 constraints walked, snapshot 2026-09-07 22:37 UTC, AI narrative attached

  • Halve global under-5 mortality by 2040

    Behind the required pace2.7x recent

    What would have to happen for the world's under-5 mortality rate to fall by half by 2040?

    Current
    37.4deaths per 1,000 live birthsObserved
    Target, 2040
    18.7Derived
    Required pace
    -1.17deaths per 1,000 live births per yearDerived
    Recent pace
    -0.44deaths per 1,000 live births per yearDerived

    13 constraints walked, snapshot 2026-09-07 22:37 UTC, AI narrative attached

  • Raise global cereal yield 30 percent by 2040

    Behind the required pace

    What would have to happen for world cereal yield per hectare to rise 30 percent by 2040?

    Current
    3,954.95kg per hectareObserved
    Target, 2040
    5,141.43Derived
    Required pace
    74.16kg per hectare per yearDerived
    Recent pace
    -33.72kg per hectare per yearDerived

    6 constraints walked, snapshot 2026-09-07 22:37 UTC, AI narrative attached

Every value carries its class: observed values come from a cited series, derived values are arithmetic on them, modeled values rest on stated assumptions (forecast intervals, capacity factors, unit costs), and recommended values are curated ranges such as lead times. Where an input is unavailable the page says so instead of estimating.