Relationship, requires input

Residential construction requires input Construction and mortgage financing

The stored status is what a reviewer approved. The level below it is what the overlapping data support; the two are shown side by side and only a human moves the status.

Stored statusMechanism supportedEvidence level (latest analysis)not analysed yet

Mechanism, evidence, reviewer judgements

The edge as stored

Residential construction requires input Construction and mortgage financing3 evidenceMechanism supported

Residential construction depends on Construction and mortgage financing.

Mechanism

Builders borrow to acquire land and build; buyers borrow to purchase. Credit availability and its cost change how many projects start and how many homes sell.

Evidence

documentHUD, U.S. Housing Market Conditionshuduser.govHousing supply, finance and affordability data.checked 2026-09-07
documentFederal Reserve, Monetary Policyfederalreserve.govThe policy rate and its transmission to borrowing costs.checked 2026-09-07
documentU.S. Census Bureau, New Residential Salescensus.govchecked 2026-09-07

Status: mechanism_supported
Reviewer confidence: 0.90
Stated strength: 0.80
Lag: not stated
Version: curated_seed_v1
Reviewed: 2026-09-07

Confidence and strength are curated judgements recorded with the edge, not measured quantities.

Entity pages: Residential construction, Construction and mortgage financing. Part of the mechanism A higher policy rate raises borrowing cost, which reduces construction financing and residential building.

Not computed

Statistical evidence

No analysis has been stored for this edge. The causal.analyze_all job runs monthly over every edge with a catalog metric linked to both entities; edges without a series on both ends are not analysed.

Not computed

Causal estimate

A causal estimate needs at least 20 overlapping periods and was not attempted for this edge yet.

What each rung means

Levels

Level 0: No association found
the overlapping data show no significant association.
Level 1: Correlation only
statistically associated in the overlapping periods; no direction, no mechanism.
Level 2: Predictive lead/lag
one series historically contains predictive information about the other.
Level 3: Mechanism supported
a documented physical, economic or institutional mechanism with cited evidence.
Level 4: Causally supported
a backdoor-adjusted estimate that survived refutation, on stated assumptions.
Level 5: Established relation
follows from engineering, accounting or scientific structure.

Every stored run, newest first

Analysis history

No runs stored.