Relationship, affects

AI compute affects Economic output

The stored status is what a reviewer approved. The level below it is what the overlapping data support; the two are shown side by side and only a human moves the status.

Stored statusCandidateEvidence level (latest analysis)not analysed yet

Mechanism, evidence, reviewer judgements

The edge as stored

AI compute affects Economic output0 evidenceCandidate

Economic output depends on AI compute.

Mechanism

Proposed: productivity effects of AI compute on output. No mechanism reviewed and no evidence attached.

Evidence

No evidence attached.

Status: candidate
Reviewer confidence: 0.30
Stated strength: not stated
Lag: not stated
Version: curated_seed_v1
Reviewed: 2026-09-07

Confidence and strength are curated judgements recorded with the edge, not measured quantities.

Entity pages: AI compute, Economic output.

Not computed

Statistical evidence

No analysis has been stored for this edge. The causal.analyze_all job runs monthly over every edge with a catalog metric linked to both entities; edges without a series on both ends are not analysed.

Not computed

Causal estimate

A causal estimate is attempted only for edges at mechanism supported or above: without a documented mechanism there is no graph to adjust on, and a regression coefficient alone would be pattern discovery dressed as a cause.

What each rung means

Levels

Level 0: No association found
the overlapping data show no significant association.
Level 1: Correlation only
statistically associated in the overlapping periods; no direction, no mechanism.
Level 2: Predictive lead/lag
one series historically contains predictive information about the other.
Level 3: Mechanism supported
a documented physical, economic or institutional mechanism with cited evidence.
Level 4: Causally supported
a backdoor-adjusted estimate that survived refutation, on stated assumptions.
Level 5: Established relation
follows from engineering, accounting or scientific structure.

Every stored run, newest first

Analysis history

No runs stored.