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US total business inventories · United States · as of 2026-07-01

US total business inventories (United States) rose 0.81% in 2026-07-01, an unusually large monthly move

US total business inventories for United States was 2,764,708 millions of dollars in 2026-07-01, up 22,175 millions of dollars (+0.81%) from 2,742,533 in 2026-06-01; that change ranks in the 96th percentile of monthly changes recorded since 1992-01-01.

DerivedCandidateMetric page
What changed

US total business inventories

2.76Mmillions of dollars+0.81%
Latest
2.76M in 2026-07-01 obs 410392
Previous
2.74M in 2026-06-01 obs 410391
Change
+22,175 millions of dollars
History
415 observations, 1992-01-01 to 2026-07-01
40 points, 2023-04-01 to 2026-07-01
How unusual

Against its own history

Robust z
3.25
Change percentile
96th of 413 earlier absolute changes
Value percentile
100th of earlier values
Median change
4,268 (scale 5,518.24, mad)
Second difference
18,844 (z 4.32)
Slope divergence
0.40
Rarity
last larger move 4 periods ago (2026-03-01); new series high
Confidence and status

Record

Relevance
0.364
Confidence
68%
Status
published
Discovered
2026-09-21 00:11 UTC
Expires
2026-10-21 00:11 UTC
Model
relevance_v1+insight_text_v1
Validation
passed
Causal level
candidate

Candidate: no reviewed relationship supports a causal reading. Agreement among metrics is co-movement, not cause.

Why now

Relevance components

Derived
Statistical surprise0.86 × 0.18 = 0.154
Acceleration0.65 × 0.12 = 0.078
Breadth0.67 × 0.16 = 0.107
Graph centrality0.00 × 0.18 = 0.000
Forecast impactnot wired, 0 × 0.14
Bottleneck impactnot wired, 0 × 0.10
Historical rarity0.31 × 0.08 = 0.025
Public attentionnot wired, 0 × 0.04
Relevance0.364
  • Statistical surprise: the latest change of +22,175 millions of dollars is 3.2 robust standard deviations from the median monthly change (413 earlier changes), at the 96th percentile of absolute changes. Component 0.86, weight 0.18, contribution 0.154.
  • Acceleration: second-difference z 4.3; short-versus-long slope divergence 0.40. Component 0.65, weight 0.12, contribution 0.078.
  • Breadth: 14 of 21 related metrics (same category, Economy & Capital) moved in the same direction as of their latest periods; 7 moved the other way. Component 0.67, weight 0.16, contribution 0.107.
  • Graph centrality: no graph entity carries a centrality value for this metric yet, so it reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.18, contribution 0.000.
  • Historical rarity: the last larger move was 4 periods ago, in 2026-03-01; the value is a new series high (window 20 years). Component 0.31, weight 0.08, contribution 0.025.
  • Forecast impact: not wired yet; reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.14, contribution 0.000.
  • Bottleneck impact: not wired yet; reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.10, contribution 0.000.
  • Public attention: not wired yet; reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.04, contribution 0.000.

Relevance (relevance_v1) is the weighted sum of the components: 0.364, against a candidate threshold of 0.30.

Explanation

What changed and how unusual it is

Derived

What changed. The latest current observation for US total business inventories, United States, is 2,764,708 millions of dollars for 2026-07-01 (obs 410392). The previous period, 2026-06-01, recorded 2,742,533 millions of dollars (obs 410391). The change is +22,175 millions of dollars, or +0.81%. The metric is classified as contextual, so the change carries no better or worse reading on its own.

How unusual. Against the 413 earlier monthly changes since 1992-01-01, the median change is +4,268 millions of dollars and the robust spread (scaled median absolute deviation) is 5,518.24, giving a robust z-score of 3.2. The absolute change sits at the 96th percentile of earlier absolute changes; the value itself sits at the 100th percentile of earlier values. The last larger move was +26,613 millions of dollars in 2026-03-01 (obs 165025, obs 165024), 4 periods ago. The value is a new high for the series, above 2,742,533 millions of dollars in 2026-06-01 (obs 410391).

Acceleration. The change in the change (second difference) is +18,844 millions of dollars, a robust z of 4.3 against earlier second differences. The slope over the last 3 periods is +12,753 millions of dollars per period against +10,569.56 over the last 10, a divergence of 0.40 change-scale units.

Templated from stored numbers, no AI. Citations link to the evidence table below.

AI explanation

Modeled interpretation

Modeled
Explanation generated from Humanity Vector's structured data and evidence graph. Calculations and source provenance are independently stored and viewable. Model grok-4.3, prompt version 1.0.0, run 95dfa881-2e99-4a9c-af65-b085a6519e1f. Every number in this text was checked against stored evidence before display.

Explanation

The observation [observation:410392] records 2764708 million dollars for 2026-07-01. The prior observation [observation:410391] records 2742533 million dollars for 2026-06-01. Earlier observations include 2712902 million dollars for 2026-03-01 [observation:165025] and 2686289 million dollars for 2026-02-01 [observation:164615]. The data are consistent with an unusually large monthly move.

Alternative explanation (skeptic pass)

A plausible mechanism is normal variation in inventory reporting cycles.

Why now

The latest reading follows four periods without a larger change.

What to watch

Subsequent US total business inventories values [observation:410392] and related series such as real GDP [observation:182152].

Affected systems

Supporting metrics

MetricLatestChangeEvidence
GDP per person, constant 2015 US$category67,945.61 constant 2015 US$ per person (2025)+1,089.1 (+1.63%)obs 49154, obs 49155
General government gross debt (IMF WEO)category123.89 percent of GDP (2025)+1.62 (+1.32%)obs 348353, obs 348352
Labor hours per 100 gallons of gasolinecategory10.75 hours (2026-08-01)+0.306 (+2.93%)obs 404553, obs 404552
Labor hours per CPI basket, indexed to 2007category0.8925 hours per 2007 hour-basket (2026-08-01)+0.0012 (+0.13%)obs 410384, obs 404307
Labour productivity, GDP per hour worked (OECD)category104.74 US dollars per hour, current prices and PPPs (2025)+4.62 (+4.62%)obs 391708, obs 391346
NASA contract obligationscategory15.78B US dollars (2024-10-01)+768.51M (+5.12%)obs 410491, obs 272321
US Department of Defense contract obligationscategory491.77B US dollars (2024-10-01)+46B (+10.32%)obs 410479, obs 410478
US Department of Energy contract obligationscategory48.55B US dollars (2024-10-01)+2.51B (+5.44%)obs 272268, obs 272267
US average hourly earnings, all private employeescategory37.75 US dollars per hour (2026-08-01)+0.1 (+0.27%)obs 393725, obs 393724
US consumer price index, all itemscategory334.13 index 1982-1984=100 (2026-08-01)+1.32 (+0.40%)obs 409148, obs 167372
US federal contract obligationscategory778.53B US dollars (2024-10-01)+37.86B (+5.11%)obs 410487, obs 410486
US nonfarm payroll employmentcategory159,075 thousands of persons (2026-08-01)+162 (+0.10%)obs 178884, obs 178883
US real GDPcategory24,269.61 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rate (2026-04-01)+89.19 (+0.37%)obs 182152, obs 182151
US real private fixed investmentcategory4,551.12 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rate (2026-04-01)+76.03 (+1.70%)obs 181431, obs 181430

No graph relationships cited; related metrics were found by shared category.

Counter-evidence

What points the other way

7 related metrics moved the other way as of their latest periods:

  • Consumer price inflation (IMF WEO): -0.2226 percent change (-7.54%) to 2.73 percent change in 2025-01-01 (obs 356291, obs 356290)
  • Current account balance (IMF WEO): -0.7089 percent of GDP (-21.25%) to -4.05 percent of GDP in 2024-01-01 (obs 342513, obs 342512)
  • Gross capital formation as share of GDP: -0.0375 percent of GDP (-0.17%) to 21.53 percent of GDP in 2024-01-01 (obs 60180, obs 60181)
  • Labor hours per MWh of residential electricity: -0.114 hours (-2.27%) to 4.92 hours in 2026-05-01 (obs 404796, obs 404795)
  • Real GDP growth (IMF WEO): -0.6758 percent change (-24.19%) to 2.12 percent change in 2025-01-01 (obs 364346, obs 364345)
  • US 10-year Treasury yield: -0.07 percent (-1.40%) to 4.94 percent in 2026-09-17 (obs 410439, obs 410438)
  • US federal heavy and civil engineering construction contract obligations: -1,316,030,899 US dollars (-8.52%) to 14,122,861,978 US dollars in 2024-10-01 (obs 272304, obs 272303)

2 related metrics have no comparable change and did not count either way.

Limits: the score compares period-over-period changes of current rows only; earlier vintages are not compared. Related metrics were found by shared category, not by a tested mechanism, so agreement among them does not establish cause.

What to watch

Measurable indicators

  • The next US total business inventories observation (2026-08-01): a change no larger than the median monthly change of +4,268 millions of dollars, or a move back the other way, would mean the latest change has normalised.
  • GDP per person, constant 2015 US$, currently 67,945.61 constant 2015 US$ per person in 2025 (obs 49154): a move the other way lowers the breadth component.
  • General government gross debt (IMF WEO), currently 123.89 percent of GDP in 2025 (obs 348353): a move the other way lowers the breadth component.
  • Labor hours per 100 gallons of gasoline, currently 10.75 hours in 2026-08-01 (obs 404553): a move the other way lowers the breadth component.
  • Revisions: a revised 2026-07-01 value would arrive as a new observation row (the current row is observation 410392) and trigger a rescore.
  • Expiry: this insight expires 30 days after discovery unless a newer period supersedes it, and earlier if the relevance score falls below the threshold.
Evidence

Every number links here

Observed
ObservationMetricPeriodValueRoleSeriesIngested
410392US total business inventoriesUSA2026-07-012.76M millions of dollarsprimaryBUSINV2026-09-21 00:04 UTC
410391US total business inventoriesUSA2026-06-012.74M millions of dollarsprimaryBUSINV2026-09-21 00:04 UTC
165025US total business inventoriesUSA2026-03-012.71M millions of dollarscontextBUSINV2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
165024US total business inventoriesUSA2026-02-012.69M millions of dollarscontextBUSINV2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
164615US total business inventoriesUSA1992-01-01800,927 millions of dollarscontextBUSINV2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
356291Consumer price inflation (IMF WEO)USA20252.73 percent changecounterPCPIPCH2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
356290Consumer price inflation (IMF WEO)USA20242.95 percent changecounterPCPIPCH2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
342513Current account balance (IMF WEO)USA2024-4.05 percent of GDPcounterBCA_NGDPD2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
342512Current account balance (IMF WEO)USA2023-3.34 percent of GDPcounterBCA_NGDPD2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
49154GDP per person, constant 2015 US$USA202567,945.61 constant 2015 US$ per personsupportingNY.GDP.PCAP.KD2026-09-07 05:31 UTC
49155GDP per person, constant 2015 US$USA202466,856.51 constant 2015 US$ per personsupportingNY.GDP.PCAP.KD2026-09-07 05:31 UTC
348353General government gross debt (IMF WEO)USA2025123.89 percent of GDPsupportingGGXWDG_NGDP2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
348352General government gross debt (IMF WEO)USA2024122.27 percent of GDPsupportingGGXWDG_NGDP2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
60180Gross capital formation as share of GDPUSA202421.53 percent of GDPcounterNE.GDI.TOTL.ZS2026-09-07 05:31 UTC
60181Gross capital formation as share of GDPUSA202321.57 percent of GDPcounterNE.GDI.TOTL.ZS2026-09-07 05:31 UTC
404553Labor hours per 100 gallons of gasolineUSA2026-08-0110.75 hourssupportinglabor-hours-per-100-gallons-gasoline@1.02026-09-07 22:04 UTC
404552Labor hours per 100 gallons of gasolineUSA2026-07-0110.44 hourssupportinglabor-hours-per-100-gallons-gasoline@1.02026-09-07 22:04 UTC
410384Labor hours per CPI basket, indexed to 2007USA2026-08-010.8925 hours per 2007 hour-basketsupportinglabor-hours-cpi-basket-indexed@1.02026-09-14 00:11 UTC
404307Labor hours per CPI basket, indexed to 2007USA2026-07-010.8913 hours per 2007 hour-basketsupportinglabor-hours-cpi-basket-indexed@1.02026-09-07 22:04 UTC
404796Labor hours per MWh of residential electricityUSA2026-05-014.92 hourscounterlabor-hours-per-mwh-residential@1.02026-09-07 22:04 UTC
404795Labor hours per MWh of residential electricityUSA2026-04-015.03 hourscounterlabor-hours-per-mwh-residential@1.02026-09-07 22:04 UTC
391708Labour productivity, GDP per hour worked (OECD)USA2025104.74 US dollars per hour, current prices and PPPssupportingOECD.SDD.TPS,DSD_PDB@DF_PDB/.A.GDPHRS._T.USD_PPP_H.V.N._Z.PPP2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
391346Labour productivity, GDP per hour worked (OECD)USA2024100.12 US dollars per hour, current prices and PPPssupportingOECD.SDD.TPS,DSD_PDB@DF_PDB/.A.GDPHRS._T.USD_PPP_H.V.N._Z.PPP2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
410491NASA contract obligationsUSA2024-10-0115.78B US dollarssupportingspending_over_time:nasa-contracts2026-09-21 00:08 UTC
272321NASA contract obligationsUSA2023-10-0115.02B US dollarssupportingspending_over_time:nasa-contracts2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
364346Real GDP growth (IMF WEO)USA20252.12 percent changecounterNGDP_RPCH2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
364345Real GDP growth (IMF WEO)USA20242.79 percent changecounterNGDP_RPCH2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
410439US 10-year Treasury yieldUSA2026-09-174.94 percentcounterDGS102026-09-21 00:05 UTC
410438US 10-year Treasury yieldUSA2026-09-165.01 percentcounterDGS102026-09-21 00:05 UTC
410479US Department of Defense contract obligationsUSA2024-10-01491.77B US dollarssupportingspending_over_time:dod-contracts2026-09-21 00:08 UTC
410478US Department of Defense contract obligationsUSA2023-10-01445.76B US dollarssupportingspending_over_time:dod-contracts2026-09-21 00:08 UTC
272268US Department of Energy contract obligationsUSA2024-10-0148.55B US dollarssupportingspending_over_time:doe-contracts2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
272267US Department of Energy contract obligationsUSA2023-10-0146.04B US dollarssupportingspending_over_time:doe-contracts2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
393725US average hourly earnings, all private employeesUSA2026-08-0137.75 US dollars per hoursupportingCES05000000032026-09-07 21:58 UTC
393724US average hourly earnings, all private employeesUSA2026-07-0137.65 US dollars per hoursupportingCES05000000032026-09-07 21:58 UTC
409148US consumer price index, all itemsUSA2026-08-01334.13 index 1982-1984=100supportingCPIAUCSL2026-09-14 00:04 UTC
167372US consumer price index, all itemsUSA2026-07-01332.81 index 1982-1984=100supportingCPIAUCSL2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
410487US federal contract obligationsUSA2024-10-01778.53B US dollarssupportingspending_over_time:contracts2026-09-21 00:08 UTC
410486US federal contract obligationsUSA2023-10-01740.67B US dollarssupportingspending_over_time:contracts2026-09-21 00:08 UTC
169072US federal funds effective rateUSA2026-08-013.63 percentcontextFEDFUNDS2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
169071US federal funds effective rateUSA2026-07-013.63 percentcontextFEDFUNDS2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
272304US federal heavy and civil engineering construction contract obligationsUSA2024-10-0114.12B US dollarscounterspending_over_time:heavy-civil-construction2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
272303US federal heavy and civil engineering construction contract obligationsUSA2023-10-0115.44B US dollarscounterspending_over_time:heavy-civil-construction2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
178884US nonfarm payroll employmentUSA2026-08-01159,075 thousands of personssupportingPAYEMS2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
178883US nonfarm payroll employmentUSA2026-07-01158,913 thousands of personssupportingPAYEMS2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
182152US real GDPUSA2026-04-0124,269.61 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual ratesupportingGDPC12026-09-07 09:53 UTC
182151US real GDPUSA202624,180.42 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual ratesupportingGDPC12026-09-07 09:53 UTC
181431US real private fixed investmentUSA2026-04-014,551.12 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual ratesupportingFPIC12026-09-07 09:53 UTC
181430US real private fixed investmentUSA20264,475.09 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual ratesupportingFPIC12026-09-07 09:53 UTC
213832US unemployment rateUSA2026-08-014.1 percentcontextUNRATE2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
213831US unemployment rateUSA2026-07-014.1 percentcontextUNRATE2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
Feature packet (full inputs to the score)
{
  "as_of": "2026-07-01",
  "change": {
    "pct": 0.008086,
    "value": 22175,
    "observation_ids": [
      410392,
      410391
    ]
  },
  "latest": {
    "id": 410392,
    "value": 2764708,
    "period": "2026-07-01"
  },
  "metric": {
    "id": "57d7eff9-88cd-4a60-b0bb-7198b9cc570e",
    "kind": "observed",
    "name": "US total business inventories",
    "slug": "us-business-inventories",
    "unit": "millions of dollars",
    "direction": "contextual",
    "frequency": "monthly",
    "category_id": "3f71939e-fa36-4d46-99a2-703ce2a7b9ab",
    "category_name": "Economy & Capital",
    "category_slug": "economy",
    "geography_default": "USA",
    "frequency_normalised": "monthly"
  },
  "rarity": {
    "prior_max": {
      "id": 410391,
      "value": 2742533,
      "period": "2026-06-01"
    },
    "prior_min": {
      "id": 164615,
      "value": 800927,
      "period": "1992-01-01"
    },
    "abs_change": 22175,
    "all_time_low": false,
    "largest_ever": false,
    "window_years": 20,
    "all_time_high": true,
    "window_periods": 240,
    "last_larger_move": {
      "change": 26613,
      "period": "2026-03-01",
      "observation_ids": [
        165025,
        165024
      ]
    },
    "largest_in_window": false,
    "periods_since_larger_move": 4
  },
  "scores": {
    "rarity": 0.3117,
    "breadth": 0.6667,
    "surprise": 0.8563,
    "centrality": 0,
    "acceleration": 0.6528,
    "forecast_impact": 0,
    "public_attention": 0,
    "bottleneck_impact": 0
  },
  "breadth": {
    "via": "category",
    "share": 0.6667,
    "related": [
      {
        "via": "category",
        "name": "Consumer price inflation (IMF WEO)",
        "slug": "imf-inflation",
        "unit": "percent change",
        "change": -0.222604,
        "latest": {
          "id": 356291,
          "value": 2.729506,
          "period": "2025-01-01"
        },
        "previous": {
          "id": 356290,
          "value": 2.95211,
          "period": "2024-01-01"
        },
        "direction": "contextual",
        "frequency": "annual",
        "metric_id": "1e18548a-6c31-401b-a001-a3970c8cf813",
        "change_pct": -0.075405,
        "consistent": false,
        "relationship_ids": []
      },
      {
        "via": "category",
        "name": "Current account balance (IMF WEO)",
        "slug": "imf-current-account-balance",
        "unit": "percent of GDP",
        "change": -0.708905,
        "latest": {
          "id": 342513,
          "value": -4.045665,
          "period": "2024-01-01"
        },
        "previous": {
          "id": 342512,
          "value": -3.33676,
          "period": "2023-01-01"
        },
        "direction": "contextual",
        "frequency": "annual",
        "metric_id": "025362e9-07fa-4ead-bd6d-b7ebe14aab52",
        "change_pct": -0.212453,
        "consistent": false,
        "relationship_ids": []
      },
      {
        "via": "category",
        "name": "GDP per person, constant 2015 US$",
        "slug": "gdp-per-person",
        "unit": "constant 2015 US$ per person",
        "change": 1089.10148,
        "latest": {
          "id": 49154,
          "value": 67945.6146497427,
          "period": "2025-01-01"
        },
        "previous": {
          "id": 49155,
          "value": 66856.5131698371,
          "period": "2024-01-01"
        },
        "direction": "higher_better",
        "frequency": "annual",
        "metric_id": "3bd181ab-ad4f-4d1f-b404-0759f53e7053",
        "change_pct": 0.01629,
        "consistent": true,
        "relationship_ids": []
      },
      {
        "via": "category",
        "name": "General government gross debt (IMF WEO)",
        "slug": "imf-government-gross-debt",
        "unit": "percent of GDP",
        "change": 1.616685,
        "latest": {
          "id": 348353,
          "value": 123.886351,
          "period": "2025-01-01"
        },
        "previous": {
          "id": 348352,
          "value": 122.269666,
          "period": "2024-01-01"
        },
        "direction": "contextual",
        "frequency": "annual",
        "metric_id": "b6142a59-5c69-4bdd-a234-05161d215673",
        "change_pct": 0.013222,
        "consistent": true,
        "relationship_ids": []
      },
      {
        "via": "category",
        "name": "Gross capital formation as share of GDP",
        "slug": "gross-capital-formation-share",
        "unit": "percent of GDP",
        "change": -0.037546,
        "latest": {
          "id": 60180,
          "value": 21.5325967668865,
          "period": "2024-01-01"
        },
        "previous": {
          "id": 60181,
          "value": 21.5701430454153,
          "period": "2023-01-01"
        },
        "direction": "contextual",
        "frequency": "annual",
        "metric_id": "82a89136-2f44-4cd4-b53e-1516ab3edbb6",
        "change_pct": -0.001741,
        "consistent": false,
        "relationship_ids": []
      },
      {
        "via": "category",
        "name": "Labor hours per 100 gallons of gasoline",
        "slug": "labor-hours-per-100-gallons-gasoline",
        "unit": "hours",
        "change": 0.306,
        "latest": {
          "id": 404553,
          "value": 10.75,
          "period": "2026-08-01"
        },
        "previous": {
          "id": 404552,
          "value": 10.444,
          "period": "2026-07-01"
        },
        "direction": "lower_better",
        "frequency": "monthly",
        "metric_id": "505c96a1-c55d-4042-beaf-d63e5a71a9d1",
        "change_pct": 0.029299,
        "consistent": true,
        "relationship_ids": []
      },
      {
        "via": "category",
        "name": "Labor hours per CPI basket, indexed to 2007",
        "slug": "labor-hours-cpi-basket-indexed",
        "unit": "hours per 2007 hour-basket",
        "change": 0.0012,
        "latest": {
          "id": 410384,
          "value": 0.8925,
          "period": "2026-08-01"
        },
        "previous": {
          "id": 404307,
          "value": 0.8913,
          "period": "2026-07-01"
        },
        "direction": "lower_better",
        "frequency": "monthly",
        "metric_id": "26090d82-eb1a-4f52-b3d3-9e6c055bf386",
        "change_pct": 0.001346,
        "consistent": true,
        "relationship_ids": []
      },
      {
        "via": "category",
        "name": "Labor hours per MWh of residential electricity",
        "slug": "labor-hours-per-mwh-residential",
        "unit": "hours",
        "change": -0.114,
        "latest": {
          "id": 404796,
          "value": 4.919,
          "period": "2026-05-01"
        },
        "previous": {
          "id": 404795,
          "value": 5.033,
          "period": "2026-04-01"
        },
        "direction": "lower_better",
        "frequency": "monthly",
        "metric_id": "0d9e7a8c-c5b8-4155-ac5d-6c74f1cdfc26",
        "change_pct": -0.022651,
        "consistent": false,
        "relationship_ids": []
      },
      {
        "via": "category",
        "name": "Labour productivity, GDP per hour worked (OECD)",
        "slug": "oecd-labour-productivity",
        "unit": "US dollars per hour, current prices and PPPs",
        "change": 4.624897,
        "latest": {
          "id": 391708,
          "value": 104.74444383172305,
          "period": "2025-01-01"
        },
        "previous": {
          "id": 391346,
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      {
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      {
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    ],
    "opposite": 7,
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  },
  "history": {
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    "last_period": "2026-07-01",
    "change_count": 414,
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  },
  "version": "features_v1",
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  "surprise": {
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    "scale_method": "mad",
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  },
  "geography": {
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    "code": "USA",
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  },
  "centrality": {
    "value": 0,
    "source": "none",
    "entity_ids": [],
    "entity_slugs": []
  },
  "acceleration": {
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    "short_slope": 12753,
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    "second_difference_z": 4.3234,
    "long_observation_ids": [
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    ],
    "short_observation_ids": [
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    ]
  },
  "series_window": [
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    },
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    {
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      "period": "2025-01-01"
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    {
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      "period": "2025-02-01"
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    {
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      "period": "2025-03-01"
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      "period": "2025-04-01"
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    {
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      "period": "2025-05-01"
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    },
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      "period": "2026-04-01"
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      "period": "2026-05-01"
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    },
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  ],
  "forecast_impact": {
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    "source": "not_wired"
  },
  "public_attention": {
    "value": 0,
    "source": "not_wired"
  },
  "bottleneck_impact": {
    "value": 0,
    "source": "not_wired"
  }
}

Component labels: Statistical surprise, Acceleration, Breadth, Graph centrality, Forecast impact, Bottleneck impact, Historical rarity, Public attention. Each stored score keeps this packet so it can be recomputed without the database.

51 observations, 24 metrics, relevance score row 263 (relevance_v1, features features_v1).