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US consumer price index, all items · United States · as of 2026-08-01

US consumer price index, all items (United States) rose 0.40% in 2026-08-01, an unusually large monthly move

US consumer price index, all items for United States was 334.13 index 1982-1984=100 in 2026-08-01, up 1.32 index 1982-1984=100 (+0.40%) from 332.81 in 2026-07-01; that change ranks in the 97th percentile of monthly changes recorded since 1947-01-01.

DerivedCandidateMetric page
What changed

US consumer price index, all items

334.13index 1982-1984=100+0.40%
Latest
334.13 in 2026-08-01 obs 409148
Previous
332.81 in 2026-07-01 obs 167372
Change
+1.32 index 1982-1984=100
History
955 observations, 1947-01-01 to 2026-08-01
40 points, 2023-04-01 to 2026-08-01
How unusual

Against its own history

Robust z
3.56
Change percentile
97th of 953 earlier absolute changes
Value percentile
100th of earlier values
Median change
0.235 (scale 0.3039, mad)
Second difference
1.07 (z 7.24)
Slope divergence
-1.03
Rarity
last larger move 2 periods ago (2026-06-01); new series high
Confidence and status

Record

Relevance
0.392
Confidence
70%
Status
published
Discovered
2026-09-14 00:13 UTC
Expires
2026-10-14 00:13 UTC
Model
relevance_v1+insight_text_v1
Validation
passed
Causal level
candidate

Candidate: no reviewed relationship supports a causal reading. Agreement among metrics is co-movement, not cause.

Why now

Relevance components

Derived
Statistical surprise0.91 × 0.18 = 0.164
Acceleration0.74 × 0.12 = 0.088
Breadth0.71 × 0.16 = 0.114
Graph centrality0.00 × 0.18 = 0.000
Forecast impactnot wired, 0 × 0.14
Bottleneck impactnot wired, 0 × 0.10
Historical rarity0.31 × 0.08 = 0.024
Public attentionnot wired, 0 × 0.04
Relevance0.392
  • Statistical surprise: the latest change of +1.32 index 1982-1984=100 is 3.6 robust standard deviations from the median monthly change (953 earlier changes), at the 97th percentile of absolute changes. Component 0.91, weight 0.18, contribution 0.164.
  • Acceleration: second-difference z 7.2; short-versus-long slope divergence -1.03. Component 0.74, weight 0.12, contribution 0.088.
  • Breadth: 15 of 21 related metrics (same category, Economy & Capital) moved in the same direction as of their latest periods; 6 moved the other way. Component 0.71, weight 0.16, contribution 0.114.
  • Graph centrality: no graph entity carries a centrality value for this metric yet, so it reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.18, contribution 0.000.
  • Historical rarity: the last larger move was 2 periods ago, in 2026-06-01; the value is a new series high (window 20 years). Component 0.31, weight 0.08, contribution 0.024.
  • Forecast impact: not wired yet; reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.14, contribution 0.000.
  • Bottleneck impact: not wired yet; reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.10, contribution 0.000.
  • Public attention: not wired yet; reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.04, contribution 0.000.

Relevance (relevance_v1) is the weighted sum of the components: 0.392, against a candidate threshold of 0.30.

Explanation

What changed and how unusual it is

Derived

What changed. The latest current observation for US consumer price index, all items, United States, is 334.13 index 1982-1984=100 for 2026-08-01 (obs 409148). The previous period, 2026-07-01, recorded 332.81 index 1982-1984=100 (obs 167372). The change is +1.32 index 1982-1984=100, or +0.40%. The metric is classified as contextual, so the change carries no better or worse reading on its own.

How unusual. Against the 953 earlier monthly changes since 1947-01-01, the median change is +0.235 index 1982-1984=100 and the robust spread (scaled median absolute deviation) is 0.3039, giving a robust z-score of 3.6. The absolute change sits at the 97th percentile of earlier absolute changes; the value itself sits at the 100th percentile of earlier values. The last larger move was -1.41 index 1982-1984=100 in 2026-06-01 (obs 167371, obs 167370), 2 periods ago. The value is a new high for the series, above 333.98 index 1982-1984=100 in 2026-05-01 (obs 167370).

Acceleration. The change in the change (second difference) is +1.07 index 1982-1984=100, a robust z of 7.2 against earlier second differences. The slope over the last 3 periods is +0.7815 index 1982-1984=100 per period against +1.09 over the last 10, a divergence of -1.03 change-scale units.

Templated from stored numbers, no AI. Citations link to the evidence table below.

AI explanation

Modeled interpretation

Modeled
Explanation generated from Humanity Vector's structured data and evidence graph. Calculations and source provenance are independently stored and viewable. Model grok-4.3, prompt version 1.0.0, run 929f8a36-7ae6-41d0-8609-1aa8feca0ad3. Every number in this text was checked against stored evidence before display.

Explanation

The data are consistent with an unusually large monthly move given surprise_robust_z of 3.5633 and surprise_score of 0.9135. [observation:409148] records the observed value 334.131 on 2026-08-01 while [observation:167372] records the observed value 332.813 on 2026-07-01. [observation:167371] records the observed value 332.568 on 2026-06-01 and [observation:167370] records the observed value 333.979 on 2026-05-01. Derived series such as [observation:410384] show labor hours per CPI basket at 0.8925 for 2026-08-01.

Alternative explanation (skeptic pass)

The data are consistent with normal variation around the recent sequence of observed values.

Why now

The feature set includes surprise_robust_z of 3.5633, acceleration_slope_divergence of -1.0311, periods_since_larger_move of 2, and rarity_score of 0.3058.

What to watch

Next monthly CPI observations such as [observation:167372] and [observation:167371]; average hourly earnings [observation:393725] at 37.75; unemployment rate [observation:213832] at 4.1 percent.

Affected systems

Supporting metrics

MetricLatestChangeEvidence
GDP per person, constant 2015 US$category67,945.61 constant 2015 US$ per person (2025)+1,089.1 (+1.63%)obs 49154, obs 49155
General government gross debt (IMF WEO)category123.89 percent of GDP (2025)+1.62 (+1.32%)obs 348353, obs 348352
Labor hours per 100 gallons of gasolinecategory10.75 hours (2026-08-01)+0.306 (+2.93%)obs 404553, obs 404552
Labor hours per CPI basket, indexed to 2007category0.8925 hours per 2007 hour-basket (2026-08-01)+0.0012 (+0.13%)obs 410384, obs 404307
Labour productivity, GDP per hour worked (OECD)category104.74 US dollars per hour, current prices and PPPs (2025)+4.62 (+4.62%)obs 391708, obs 391346
NASA contract obligationscategory15.78B US dollars (2024-10-01)+768.63M (+5.12%)obs 410375, obs 272321
US 10-year Treasury yieldcategory4.95 percent (2026-09-10)+0.12 (+2.48%)obs 409159, obs 409158
US Department of Defense contract obligationscategory491.74B US dollars (2024-10-01)+45.98B (+10.31%)obs 410360, obs 410359
US Department of Energy contract obligationscategory48.55B US dollars (2024-10-01)+2.51B (+5.44%)obs 272268, obs 272267
US average hourly earnings, all private employeescategory37.75 US dollars per hour (2026-08-01)+0.1 (+0.27%)obs 393725, obs 393724
US federal contract obligationscategory778.49B US dollars (2024-10-01)+37.82B (+5.11%)obs 410372, obs 410371
US nonfarm payroll employmentcategory159,075 thousands of persons (2026-08-01)+162 (+0.10%)obs 178884, obs 178883
US real GDPcategory24,269.61 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rate (2026-04-01)+89.19 (+0.37%)obs 182152, obs 182151
US real private fixed investmentcategory4,551.12 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rate (2026-04-01)+76.03 (+1.70%)obs 181431, obs 181430
US total business inventoriescategory2.74M millions of dollars (2026-06-01)+1,037 (+0.04%)obs 165028, obs 165027

No graph relationships cited; related metrics were found by shared category.

Counter-evidence

What points the other way

6 related metrics moved the other way as of their latest periods:

  • Consumer price inflation (IMF WEO): -0.2226 percent change (-7.54%) to 2.73 percent change in 2025-01-01 (obs 356291, obs 356290)
  • Current account balance (IMF WEO): -0.7089 percent of GDP (-21.25%) to -4.05 percent of GDP in 2024-01-01 (obs 342513, obs 342512)
  • Gross capital formation as share of GDP: -0.0375 percent of GDP (-0.17%) to 21.53 percent of GDP in 2024-01-01 (obs 60180, obs 60181)
  • Labor hours per MWh of residential electricity: -0.114 hours (-2.27%) to 4.92 hours in 2026-05-01 (obs 404796, obs 404795)
  • Real GDP growth (IMF WEO): -0.6758 percent change (-24.19%) to 2.12 percent change in 2025-01-01 (obs 364346, obs 364345)
  • US federal heavy and civil engineering construction contract obligations: -1,316,030,899 US dollars (-8.52%) to 14,122,861,978 US dollars in 2024-10-01 (obs 272304, obs 272303)

2 related metrics have no comparable change and did not count either way.

Limits: the score compares period-over-period changes of current rows only; earlier vintages are not compared. Related metrics were found by shared category, not by a tested mechanism, so agreement among them does not establish cause.

What to watch

Measurable indicators

  • The next US consumer price index, all items observation (2026-09-01): a change no larger than the median monthly change of +0.235 index 1982-1984=100, or a move back the other way, would mean the latest change has normalised.
  • GDP per person, constant 2015 US$, currently 67,945.61 constant 2015 US$ per person in 2025 (obs 49154): a move the other way lowers the breadth component.
  • General government gross debt (IMF WEO), currently 123.89 percent of GDP in 2025 (obs 348353): a move the other way lowers the breadth component.
  • Labor hours per 100 gallons of gasoline, currently 10.75 hours in 2026-08-01 (obs 404553): a move the other way lowers the breadth component.
  • Revisions: a revised 2026-08-01 value would arrive as a new observation row (the current row is observation 409148) and trigger a rescore.
  • Expiry: this insight expires 30 days after discovery unless a newer period supersedes it, and earlier if the relevance score falls below the threshold.
Evidence

Every number links here

Observed
ObservationMetricPeriodValueRoleSeriesIngested
409148US consumer price index, all itemsUSA2026-08-01334.13 index 1982-1984=100primaryCPIAUCSL2026-09-14 00:04 UTC
167372US consumer price index, all itemsUSA2026-07-01332.81 index 1982-1984=100primaryCPIAUCSL2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
167371US consumer price index, all itemsUSA2026-06-01332.57 index 1982-1984=100contextCPIAUCSL2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
167370US consumer price index, all itemsUSA2026-05-01333.98 index 1982-1984=100contextCPIAUCSL2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
166419US consumer price index, all itemsUSA1947-01-0121.48 index 1982-1984=100contextCPIAUCSL2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
356291Consumer price inflation (IMF WEO)USA20252.73 percent changecounterPCPIPCH2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
356290Consumer price inflation (IMF WEO)USA20242.95 percent changecounterPCPIPCH2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
342513Current account balance (IMF WEO)USA2024-4.05 percent of GDPcounterBCA_NGDPD2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
342512Current account balance (IMF WEO)USA2023-3.34 percent of GDPcounterBCA_NGDPD2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
49154GDP per person, constant 2015 US$USA202567,945.61 constant 2015 US$ per personsupportingNY.GDP.PCAP.KD2026-09-07 05:31 UTC
49155GDP per person, constant 2015 US$USA202466,856.51 constant 2015 US$ per personsupportingNY.GDP.PCAP.KD2026-09-07 05:31 UTC
348353General government gross debt (IMF WEO)USA2025123.89 percent of GDPsupportingGGXWDG_NGDP2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
348352General government gross debt (IMF WEO)USA2024122.27 percent of GDPsupportingGGXWDG_NGDP2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
60180Gross capital formation as share of GDPUSA202421.53 percent of GDPcounterNE.GDI.TOTL.ZS2026-09-07 05:31 UTC
60181Gross capital formation as share of GDPUSA202321.57 percent of GDPcounterNE.GDI.TOTL.ZS2026-09-07 05:31 UTC
404553Labor hours per 100 gallons of gasolineUSA2026-08-0110.75 hourssupportinglabor-hours-per-100-gallons-gasoline@1.02026-09-07 22:04 UTC
404552Labor hours per 100 gallons of gasolineUSA2026-07-0110.44 hourssupportinglabor-hours-per-100-gallons-gasoline@1.02026-09-07 22:04 UTC
410384Labor hours per CPI basket, indexed to 2007USA2026-08-010.8925 hours per 2007 hour-basketsupportinglabor-hours-cpi-basket-indexed@1.02026-09-14 00:11 UTC
404307Labor hours per CPI basket, indexed to 2007USA2026-07-010.8913 hours per 2007 hour-basketsupportinglabor-hours-cpi-basket-indexed@1.02026-09-07 22:04 UTC
404796Labor hours per MWh of residential electricityUSA2026-05-014.92 hourscounterlabor-hours-per-mwh-residential@1.02026-09-07 22:04 UTC
404795Labor hours per MWh of residential electricityUSA2026-04-015.03 hourscounterlabor-hours-per-mwh-residential@1.02026-09-07 22:04 UTC
391708Labour productivity, GDP per hour worked (OECD)USA2025104.74 US dollars per hour, current prices and PPPssupportingOECD.SDD.TPS,DSD_PDB@DF_PDB/.A.GDPHRS._T.USD_PPP_H.V.N._Z.PPP2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
391346Labour productivity, GDP per hour worked (OECD)USA2024100.12 US dollars per hour, current prices and PPPssupportingOECD.SDD.TPS,DSD_PDB@DF_PDB/.A.GDPHRS._T.USD_PPP_H.V.N._Z.PPP2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
410375NASA contract obligationsUSA2024-10-0115.78B US dollarssupportingspending_over_time:nasa-contracts2026-09-14 00:10 UTC
272321NASA contract obligationsUSA2023-10-0115.02B US dollarssupportingspending_over_time:nasa-contracts2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
364346Real GDP growth (IMF WEO)USA20252.12 percent changecounterNGDP_RPCH2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
364345Real GDP growth (IMF WEO)USA20242.79 percent changecounterNGDP_RPCH2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
409159US 10-year Treasury yieldUSA2026-09-104.95 percentsupportingDGS102026-09-14 00:04 UTC
409158US 10-year Treasury yieldUSA2026-09-094.83 percentsupportingDGS102026-09-14 00:04 UTC
410360US Department of Defense contract obligationsUSA2024-10-01491.74B US dollarssupportingspending_over_time:dod-contracts2026-09-14 00:09 UTC
410359US Department of Defense contract obligationsUSA2023-10-01445.77B US dollarssupportingspending_over_time:dod-contracts2026-09-14 00:09 UTC
272268US Department of Energy contract obligationsUSA2024-10-0148.55B US dollarssupportingspending_over_time:doe-contracts2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
272267US Department of Energy contract obligationsUSA2023-10-0146.04B US dollarssupportingspending_over_time:doe-contracts2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
393725US average hourly earnings, all private employeesUSA2026-08-0137.75 US dollars per hoursupportingCES05000000032026-09-07 21:58 UTC
393724US average hourly earnings, all private employeesUSA2026-07-0137.65 US dollars per hoursupportingCES05000000032026-09-07 21:58 UTC
410372US federal contract obligationsUSA2024-10-01778.49B US dollarssupportingspending_over_time:contracts2026-09-14 00:10 UTC
410371US federal contract obligationsUSA2023-10-01740.67B US dollarssupportingspending_over_time:contracts2026-09-14 00:10 UTC
169072US federal funds effective rateUSA2026-08-013.63 percentcontextFEDFUNDS2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
169071US federal funds effective rateUSA2026-07-013.63 percentcontextFEDFUNDS2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
272304US federal heavy and civil engineering construction contract obligationsUSA2024-10-0114.12B US dollarscounterspending_over_time:heavy-civil-construction2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
272303US federal heavy and civil engineering construction contract obligationsUSA2023-10-0115.44B US dollarscounterspending_over_time:heavy-civil-construction2026-09-07 20:00 UTC
178884US nonfarm payroll employmentUSA2026-08-01159,075 thousands of personssupportingPAYEMS2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
178883US nonfarm payroll employmentUSA2026-07-01158,913 thousands of personssupportingPAYEMS2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
182152US real GDPUSA2026-04-0124,269.61 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual ratesupportingGDPC12026-09-07 09:53 UTC
182151US real GDPUSA202624,180.42 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual ratesupportingGDPC12026-09-07 09:53 UTC
181431US real private fixed investmentUSA2026-04-014,551.12 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual ratesupportingFPIC12026-09-07 09:53 UTC
181430US real private fixed investmentUSA20264,475.09 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual ratesupportingFPIC12026-09-07 09:53 UTC
165028US total business inventoriesUSA2026-06-012.74M millions of dollarssupportingBUSINV2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
165027US total business inventoriesUSA2026-05-012.74M millions of dollarssupportingBUSINV2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
213832US unemployment rateUSA2026-08-014.1 percentcontextUNRATE2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
213831US unemployment rateUSA2026-07-014.1 percentcontextUNRATE2026-09-07 09:53 UTC
Feature packet (full inputs to the score)
{
  "as_of": "2026-08-01",
  "change": {
    "pct": 0.00396,
    "value": 1.318,
    "observation_ids": [
      409148,
      167372
    ]
  },
  "latest": {
    "id": 409148,
    "value": 334.131,
    "period": "2026-08-01"
  },
  "metric": {
    "id": "197dabaa-c643-4697-8166-7df2bb6634a9",
    "kind": "observed",
    "name": "US consumer price index, all items",
    "slug": "us-cpi",
    "unit": "index 1982-1984=100",
    "direction": "contextual",
    "frequency": "monthly",
    "category_id": "3f71939e-fa36-4d46-99a2-703ce2a7b9ab",
    "category_name": "Economy & Capital",
    "category_slug": "economy",
    "geography_default": "USA",
    "frequency_normalised": "monthly"
  },
  "rarity": {
    "prior_max": {
      "id": 167370,
      "value": 333.979,
      "period": "2026-05-01"
    },
    "prior_min": {
      "id": 166419,
      "value": 21.48,
      "period": "1947-01-01"
    },
    "abs_change": 1.318,
    "all_time_low": false,
    "largest_ever": false,
    "window_years": 20,
    "all_time_high": true,
    "window_periods": 240,
    "last_larger_move": {
      "change": -1.411,
      "period": "2026-06-01",
      "observation_ids": [
        167371,
        167370
      ]
    },
    "largest_in_window": false,
    "periods_since_larger_move": 2
  },
  "scores": {
    "rarity": 0.3058,
    "breadth": 0.7143,
    "surprise": 0.9135,
    "centrality": 0,
    "acceleration": 0.7375,
    "forecast_impact": 0,
    "public_attention": 0,
    "bottleneck_impact": 0
  },
  "breadth": {
    "via": "category",
    "share": 0.7143,
    "related": [
      {
        "via": "category",
        "name": "Consumer price inflation (IMF WEO)",
        "slug": "imf-inflation",
        "unit": "percent change",
        "change": -0.222604,
        "latest": {
          "id": 356291,
          "value": 2.729506,
          "period": "2025-01-01"
        },
        "previous": {
          "id": 356290,
          "value": 2.95211,
          "period": "2024-01-01"
        },
        "direction": "contextual",
        "frequency": "annual",
        "metric_id": "1e18548a-6c31-401b-a001-a3970c8cf813",
        "change_pct": -0.075405,
        "consistent": false,
        "relationship_ids": []
      },
      {
        "via": "category",
        "name": "Current account balance (IMF WEO)",
        "slug": "imf-current-account-balance",
        "unit": "percent of GDP",
        "change": -0.708905,
        "latest": {
          "id": 342513,
          "value": -4.045665,
          "period": "2024-01-01"
        },
        "previous": {
          "id": 342512,
          "value": -3.33676,
          "period": "2023-01-01"
        },
        "direction": "contextual",
        "frequency": "annual",
        "metric_id": "025362e9-07fa-4ead-bd6d-b7ebe14aab52",
        "change_pct": -0.212453,
        "consistent": false,
        "relationship_ids": []
      },
      {
        "via": "category",
        "name": "GDP per person, constant 2015 US$",
        "slug": "gdp-per-person",
        "unit": "constant 2015 US$ per person",
        "change": 1089.10148,
        "latest": {
          "id": 49154,
          "value": 67945.6146497427,
          "period": "2025-01-01"
        },
        "previous": {
          "id": 49155,
          "value": 66856.5131698371,
          "period": "2024-01-01"
        },
        "direction": "higher_better",
        "frequency": "annual",
        "metric_id": "3bd181ab-ad4f-4d1f-b404-0759f53e7053",
        "change_pct": 0.01629,
        "consistent": true,
        "relationship_ids": []
      },
      {
        "via": "category",
        "name": "General government gross debt (IMF WEO)",
        "slug": "imf-government-gross-debt",
        "unit": "percent of GDP",
        "change": 1.616685,
        "latest": {
          "id": 348353,
          "value": 123.886351,
          "period": "2025-01-01"
        },
        "previous": {
          "id": 348352,
          "value": 122.269666,
          "period": "2024-01-01"
        },
        "direction": "contextual",
        "frequency": "annual",
        "metric_id": "b6142a59-5c69-4bdd-a234-05161d215673",
        "change_pct": 0.013222,
        "consistent": true,
        "relationship_ids": []
      },
      {
        "via": "category",
        "name": "Gross capital formation as share of GDP",
        "slug": "gross-capital-formation-share",
        "unit": "percent of GDP",
        "change": -0.037546,
        "latest": {
          "id": 60180,
          "value": 21.5325967668865,
          "period": "2024-01-01"
        },
        "previous": {
          "id": 60181,
          "value": 21.5701430454153,
          "period": "2023-01-01"
        },
        "direction": "contextual",
        "frequency": "annual",
        "metric_id": "82a89136-2f44-4cd4-b53e-1516ab3edbb6",
        "change_pct": -0.001741,
        "consistent": false,
        "relationship_ids": []
      },
      {
        "via": "category",
        "name": "Labor hours per 100 gallons of gasoline",
        "slug": "labor-hours-per-100-gallons-gasoline",
        "unit": "hours",
        "change": 0.306,
        "latest": {
          "id": 404553,
          "value": 10.75,
          "period": "2026-08-01"
        },
        "previous": {
          "id": 404552,
          "value": 10.444,
          "period": "2026-07-01"
        },
        "direction": "lower_better",
        "frequency": "monthly",
        "metric_id": "505c96a1-c55d-4042-beaf-d63e5a71a9d1",
        "change_pct": 0.029299,
        "consistent": true,
        "relationship_ids": []
      },
      {
        "via": "category",
        "name": "Labor hours per CPI basket, indexed to 2007",
        "slug": "labor-hours-cpi-basket-indexed",
        "unit": "hours per 2007 hour-basket",
        "change": 0.0012,
        "latest": {
          "id": 410384,
          "value": 0.8925,
          "period": "2026-08-01"
        },
        "previous": {
          "id": 404307,
          "value": 0.8913,
          "period": "2026-07-01"
        },
        "direction": "lower_better",
        "frequency": "monthly",
        "metric_id": "26090d82-eb1a-4f52-b3d3-9e6c055bf386",
        "change_pct": 0.001346,
        "consistent": true,
        "relationship_ids": []
      },
      {
        "via": "category",
        "name": "Labor hours per MWh of residential electricity",
        "slug": "labor-hours-per-mwh-residential",
        "unit": "hours",
        "change": -0.114,
        "latest": {
          "id": 404796,
          "value": 4.919,
          "period": "2026-05-01"
        },
        "previous": {
          "id": 404795,
          "value": 5.033,
          "period": "2026-04-01"
        },
        "direction": "lower_better",
        "frequency": "monthly",
        "metric_id": "0d9e7a8c-c5b8-4155-ac5d-6c74f1cdfc26",
        "change_pct": -0.022651,
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      {
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        "name": "US 10-year Treasury yield",
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      {
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        "slug": "us-federal-funds-rate",
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      {
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        "name": "US total business inventories",
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      {
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    ],
    "opposite": 6,
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  "history": {
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    "last_period": "2026-08-01",
    "change_count": 954,
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  "version": "features_v1",
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  "surprise": {
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    "change_count": 953,
    "scale_method": "mad",
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    "abs_change_percentile": 0.9664
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  "geography": {
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    "code": "USA",
    "name": "United States"
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  "centrality": {
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    "source": "none",
    "entity_ids": [],
    "entity_slugs": []
  },
  "acceleration": {
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    "long_slope": 1.094891,
    "long_window": 10,
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    "slope_divergence": -1.0311,
    "second_difference": 1.073,
    "second_difference_z": 7.2373,
    "long_observation_ids": [
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    ],
    "short_observation_ids": [
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    {
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      "value": 303.334,
      "period": "2023-05-01"
    },
    {
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      "value": 304.014,
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    {
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      "period": "2023-07-01"
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    {
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      "value": 309.698,
      "period": "2024-01-01"
    },
    {
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      "value": 310.967,
      "period": "2024-02-01"
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    {
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      "period": "2024-04-01"
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      "value": 316.528,
      "period": "2024-11-01"
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      "value": 317.604,
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    {
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      "value": 318.961,
      "period": "2025-01-01"
    },
    {
      "id": 167356,
      "value": 319.679,
      "period": "2025-02-01"
    },
    {
      "id": 167357,
      "value": 319.785,
      "period": "2025-03-01"
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    {
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      "period": "2025-04-01"
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    {
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    {
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      "period": "2025-07-01"
    },
    {
      "id": 167362,
      "value": 323.291,
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    {
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      "value": 324.245,
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      "period": "2025-12-01"
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    {
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    {
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      "value": 327.46,
      "period": "2026-02-01"
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    {
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      "value": 330.293,
      "period": "2026-03-01"
    },
    {
      "id": 167369,
      "value": 332.407,
      "period": "2026-04-01"
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      "value": 333.979,
      "period": "2026-05-01"
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    {
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    },
    {
      "id": 409148,
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  ],
  "forecast_impact": {
    "value": 0,
    "source": "not_wired"
  },
  "public_attention": {
    "value": 0,
    "source": "not_wired"
  },
  "bottleneck_impact": {
    "value": 0,
    "source": "not_wired"
  }
}

Component labels: Statistical surprise, Acceleration, Breadth, Graph centrality, Forecast impact, Bottleneck impact, Historical rarity, Public attention. Each stored score keeps this packet so it can be recomputed without the database.

51 observations, 24 metrics, relevance score row 136 (relevance_v1, features features_v1).
US consumer price index, all items (United States) rose 0.40% in 2026-08-01, an unusually large monthly move | Humanity Vector