US Department of Energy contract obligations · United States · as of 2025-10-01
US Department of Energy contract obligations (United States) rose 13.56% in 2025-10-01, an unusually large annual move
US Department of Energy contract obligations for United States was 55,135,013,856 US dollars in 2025-10-01, up 6,585,675,477 US dollars (+13.56%) from 48,549,338,379 in 2024-10-01; that change ranks in the 94th percentile of annual changes recorded since 2007-10-01.
US Department of Energy contract obligations
- Latest
- 55.14B in 2025-10-01 obs 411205
- Previous
- 48.55B in 2024-10-01 obs 272268
- Change
- +6.59B US dollars
- History
- 19 observations, 2007-10-01 to 2025-10-01
Against its own history
- Robust z
- 2.35
- Change percentile
- 94th of 17 earlier absolute changes
- Value percentile
- 100th of earlier values
- Median change
- 1.51B (scale 2.16B, mad)
- Second difference
- 4.08B (z 1.48)
- Slope divergence
- 0.84
- Rarity
- last larger move 17 periods ago (2008-10-01); new series high
Record
- Relevance
- 0.341
- Confidence
- 57%
- Status
- published
- Discovered
- 2026-10-05 00:10 UTC
- Expires
- 2026-11-04 00:10 UTC
- Model
- relevance_v1+insight_text_v1
- Validation
- passed
- Causal level
- candidate
Candidate: no reviewed relationship supports a causal reading. Agreement among metrics is co-movement, not cause.
Relevance components
- Statistical surprise: the latest change of +6,585,675,477 US dollars is 2.3 robust standard deviations from the median annual change (17 earlier changes), at the 94th percentile of absolute changes. Component 0.69, weight 0.18, contribution 0.125.
- Acceleration: second-difference z 1.5; short-versus-long slope divergence 0.84. Component 0.33, weight 0.12, contribution 0.040.
- Breadth: 15 of 23 related metrics (same category, Economy & Capital) moved in the same direction as of their latest periods; 8 moved the other way. Component 0.65, weight 0.16, contribution 0.104.
- Graph centrality: no graph entity carries a centrality value for this metric yet, so it reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.18, contribution 0.000.
- Historical rarity: the last larger move was 17 periods ago, in 2008-10-01; the value is a new series high (window 20 years). Component 0.90, weight 0.08, contribution 0.072.
- Forecast impact: not wired yet; reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.14, contribution 0.000.
- Bottleneck impact: not wired yet; reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.10, contribution 0.000.
- Public attention: not wired yet; reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.04, contribution 0.000.
Relevance (relevance_v1) is the weighted sum of the components: 0.341, against a candidate threshold of 0.30.
What changed and how unusual it is
What changed. The latest current observation for US Department of Energy contract obligations, United States, is 55,135,013,856 US dollars for 2025-10-01 (obs 411205). The previous period, 2024-10-01, recorded 48,549,338,379 US dollars (obs 272268). The change is +6,585,675,477 US dollars, or +13.56%. The metric is classified as contextual, so the change carries no better or worse reading on its own.
How unusual. Against the 17 earlier annual changes since 2007-10-01, the median change is +1,510,433,102 US dollars and the robust spread (scaled median absolute deviation) is 2,160,687,280, giving a robust z-score of 2.3. The absolute change sits at the 94th percentile of earlier absolute changes; the value itself sits at the 100th percentile of earlier values. The last larger move was +7,445,743,517 US dollars in 2008-10-01 (obs 272252, obs 272251), 17 periods ago. The value is a new high for the series, above 48,549,338,379 US dollars in 2024-10-01 (obs 272268).
Acceleration. The change in the change (second difference) is +4,080,147,303 US dollars, a robust z of 1.5 against earlier second differences. The slope over the last 3 periods is +4,545,601,826 US dollars per period against +2,735,955,859 over the last 10, a divergence of 0.84 change-scale units.
Templated from stored numbers, no AI. Citations link to the evidence table below.
Modeled interpretation
Explanation
Observed values record US Department of Energy contract obligations at 55135013856.16 US dollars on 2025-10-01 [observation:411205] and 48549338378.87 US dollars on 2024-10-01 [observation:272268]. The data are consistent with an annual increase of 6585675477.29 US dollars. Earlier observations include 31642910332.38 US dollars in 2008-10-01 [observation:272252] and 24197166815.06 US dollars in 2007-10-01 [observation:272251]. The model estimates a surprise_robust_z of 2.3489 and rarity_score of 0.895 for this move.
Alternative explanation (skeptic pass)
The data are consistent with normal variation around multi-year procurement cycles rather than a sustained shift.
Why now
The feature set flags an acceleration_slope_divergence of 0.8375 and periods_since_larger_move of 17, with the latest observation dated 2025-10-01.
What to watch
Track subsequent readings of US Department of Energy contract obligations [observation:411205] and related series such as US federal contract obligations [observation:411216].
Supporting metrics
| Metric | Latest | Change | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| GDP per person, constant 2015 US$category | 67,945.61 constant 2015 US$ per person (2025) | +1,089.1 (+1.63%) | obs 49154, obs 49155 |
| General government gross debt (IMF WEO)category | 123.89 percent of GDP (2025) | +1.62 (+1.32%) | obs 348353, obs 348352 |
| Labor hours per 100 gallons of gasolinecategory | 11.52 hours (2026-09-01) | +0.77 (+7.16%) | obs 411232, obs 411231 |
| Labor hours per CPI basket, indexed to 2007category | 0.8923 hours per 2007 hour-basket (2026-08-01) | +0.0007 (+0.08%) | obs 411229, obs 411228 |
| Labour productivity, GDP per hour worked (OECD)category | 104.74 US dollars per hour, current prices and PPPs (2025) | +4.62 (+4.62%) | obs 391708, obs 391346 |
| NASA contract obligationscategory | 15.95B US dollars (2025-10-01) | +161.81M (+1.03%) | obs 411220, obs 411219 |
| US average hourly earnings, all private employeescategory | 37.81 US dollars per hour (2026-09-01) | +0.05 (+0.13%) | obs 410816, obs 410815 |
| US consumer price index, all itemscategory | 334.13 index 1982-1984=100 (2026-08-01) | +1.32 (+0.40%) | obs 409148, obs 167372 |
| US federal funds effective ratecategory | 3.75 percent (2026-09-01) | +0.12 (+3.31%) | obs 410817, obs 169072 |
| US federal heavy and civil engineering construction contract obligationscategory | 16.16B US dollars (2025-10-01) | +2.04B (+14.46%) | obs 411217, obs 410597 |
| US nonfarm payroll employmentcategory | 159,044 thousands of persons (2026-09-01) | +29 (+0.02%) | obs 410852, obs 410851 |
| US real GDPcategory | 24,408.01 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rate (2026-04-01) | +133.63 (+0.55%) | obs 410774, obs 410773 |
| US real private fixed investmentcategory | 4,645.79 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rate (2026-04-01) | +85.49 (+1.87%) | obs 410752, obs 410751 |
| US total business inventoriescategory | 2.76M millions of dollars (2026-07-01) | +22,175 (+0.81%) | obs 410392, obs 410391 |
| US unemployment ratecategory | 4.2 percent (2026-09-01) | +0.1 (+2.44%) | obs 411088, obs 213832 |
No graph relationships cited; related metrics were found by shared category.
What points the other way
8 related metrics moved the other way as of their latest periods:
- Consumer price inflation (IMF WEO): -0.2226 percent change (-7.54%) to 2.73 percent change in 2025 (obs 356291, obs 356290)
- Current account balance (IMF WEO): -0.7089 percent of GDP (-21.25%) to -4.05 percent of GDP in 2024 (obs 342513, obs 342512)
- Gross capital formation as share of GDP: -0.0375 percent of GDP (-0.17%) to 21.53 percent of GDP in 2024 (obs 60180, obs 60181)
- Labor hours per MWh of residential electricity: -0.04 hours (-0.81%) to 4.88 hours in 2026-06-01 (obs 411233, obs 404796)
- Real GDP growth (IMF WEO): -0.6758 percent change (-24.19%) to 2.12 percent change in 2025 (obs 364346, obs 364345)
- US 10-year Treasury yield: -0.05 percent (-0.95%) to 5.24 percent in 2026-10-01 (obs 411082, obs 411081)
- US Department of Defense contract obligations: -118,128,688,748 US dollars (-24.02%) to 373,650,385,491 US dollars in 2025-10-01 (obs 411204, obs 411203)
- US federal contract obligations: -48,966,615,576 US dollars (-6.29%) to 729,563,743,904 US dollars in 2025-10-01 (obs 411216, obs 411215)
Limits: the score compares period-over-period changes of current rows only; earlier vintages are not compared. Related metrics were found by shared category, not by a tested mechanism, so agreement among them does not establish cause. The history is short (17 earlier changes), which makes the percentile and z readings coarse.
- Consumer price inflation (IMF WEO) moved against this insight.
- Current account balance (IMF WEO) moved against this insight.
- Gross capital formation as share of GDP moved against this insight.
- Labor hours per MWh of residential electricity moved against this insight.
- Real GDP growth (IMF WEO) moved against this insight.
- US 10-year Treasury yield moved against this insight.
- US Department of Defense contract obligations moved against this insight.
- US federal contract obligations moved against this insight.
Measurable indicators
- The next US Department of Energy contract obligations observation (2026-10-01): a change no larger than the median annual change of +1,510,433,102 US dollars, or a move back the other way, would mean the latest change has normalised.
- GDP per person, constant 2015 US$, currently 67,945.61 constant 2015 US$ per person in 2025 (obs 49154): a move the other way lowers the breadth component.
- General government gross debt (IMF WEO), currently 123.89 percent of GDP in 2025 (obs 348353): a move the other way lowers the breadth component.
- Labor hours per 100 gallons of gasoline, currently 11.52 hours in 2026-09-01 (obs 411232): a move the other way lowers the breadth component.
- Revisions: a revised 2025-10-01 value would arrive as a new observation row (the current row is observation 411205) and trigger a rescore.
- Expiry: this insight expires 30 days after discovery unless a newer period supersedes it, and earlier if the relevance score falls below the threshold.
Every number links here
| Observation | Metric | Period | Value | Role | Series | Ingested |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411205 | US Department of Energy contract obligationsUSA | 2025-10-01 | 55.14B US dollars | primary | spending_over_time:doe-contracts | 2026-10-05 00:07 UTC |
| 272268 | US Department of Energy contract obligationsUSA | 2024-10-01 | 48.55B US dollars | primary | spending_over_time:doe-contracts | 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC |
| 272252 | US Department of Energy contract obligationsUSA | 2008-10-01 | 31.64B US dollars | context | spending_over_time:doe-contracts | 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC |
| 272251 | US Department of Energy contract obligationsUSA | 2007-10-01 | 24.2B US dollars | context | spending_over_time:doe-contracts | 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC |
| 272256 | US Department of Energy contract obligationsUSA | 2012-10-01 | 23.93B US dollars | context | spending_over_time:doe-contracts | 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC |
| 356291 | Consumer price inflation (IMF WEO)USA | 2025 | 2.73 percent change | counter | PCPIPCH | 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC |
| 356290 | Consumer price inflation (IMF WEO)USA | 2024 | 2.95 percent change | counter | PCPIPCH | 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC |
| 342513 | Current account balance (IMF WEO)USA | 2024 | -4.05 percent of GDP | counter | BCA_NGDPD | 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC |
| 342512 | Current account balance (IMF WEO)USA | 2023 | -3.34 percent of GDP | counter | BCA_NGDPD | 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC |
| 49154 | GDP per person, constant 2015 US$USA | 2025 | 67,945.61 constant 2015 US$ per person | supporting | NY.GDP.PCAP.KD | 2026-09-07 05:31 UTC |
| 49155 | GDP per person, constant 2015 US$USA | 2024 | 66,856.51 constant 2015 US$ per person | supporting | NY.GDP.PCAP.KD | 2026-09-07 05:31 UTC |
| 348353 | General government gross debt (IMF WEO)USA | 2025 | 123.89 percent of GDP | supporting | GGXWDG_NGDP | 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC |
| 348352 | General government gross debt (IMF WEO)USA | 2024 | 122.27 percent of GDP | supporting | GGXWDG_NGDP | 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC |
| 60180 | Gross capital formation as share of GDPUSA | 2024 | 21.53 percent of GDP | counter | NE.GDI.TOTL.ZS | 2026-09-07 05:31 UTC |
| 60181 | Gross capital formation as share of GDPUSA | 2023 | 21.57 percent of GDP | counter | NE.GDI.TOTL.ZS | 2026-09-07 05:31 UTC |
| 411232 | Labor hours per 100 gallons of gasolineUSA | 2026-09-01 | 11.52 hours | supporting | labor-hours-per-100-gallons-gasoline@1.0 | 2026-10-05 00:09 UTC |
| 411231 | Labor hours per 100 gallons of gasolineUSA | 2026-08-01 | 10.75 hours | supporting | labor-hours-per-100-gallons-gasoline@1.0 | 2026-10-05 00:09 UTC |
| 411229 | Labor hours per CPI basket, indexed to 2007USA | 2026-08-01 | 0.8923 hours per 2007 hour-basket | supporting | labor-hours-cpi-basket-indexed@1.0 | 2026-10-05 00:09 UTC |
| 411228 | Labor hours per CPI basket, indexed to 2007USA | 2026-07-01 | 0.8916 hours per 2007 hour-basket | supporting | labor-hours-cpi-basket-indexed@1.0 | 2026-10-05 00:09 UTC |
| 411233 | Labor hours per MWh of residential electricityUSA | 2026-06-01 | 4.88 hours | counter | labor-hours-per-mwh-residential@1.0 | 2026-10-05 00:09 UTC |
| 404796 | Labor hours per MWh of residential electricityUSA | 2026-05-01 | 4.92 hours | counter | labor-hours-per-mwh-residential@1.0 | 2026-09-07 22:04 UTC |
| 391708 | Labour productivity, GDP per hour worked (OECD)USA | 2025 | 104.74 US dollars per hour, current prices and PPPs | supporting | OECD.SDD.TPS,DSD_PDB@DF_PDB/.A.GDPHRS._T.USD_PPP_H.V.N._Z.PPP | 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC |
| 391346 | Labour productivity, GDP per hour worked (OECD)USA | 2024 | 100.12 US dollars per hour, current prices and PPPs | supporting | OECD.SDD.TPS,DSD_PDB@DF_PDB/.A.GDPHRS._T.USD_PPP_H.V.N._Z.PPP | 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC |
| 411220 | NASA contract obligationsUSA | 2025-10-01 | 15.95B US dollars | supporting | spending_over_time:nasa-contracts | 2026-10-05 00:07 UTC |
| 411219 | NASA contract obligationsUSA | 2024-10-01 | 15.78B US dollars | supporting | spending_over_time:nasa-contracts | 2026-10-05 00:07 UTC |
| 364346 | Real GDP growth (IMF WEO)USA | 2025 | 2.12 percent change | counter | NGDP_RPCH | 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC |
| 364345 | Real GDP growth (IMF WEO)USA | 2024 | 2.79 percent change | counter | NGDP_RPCH | 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC |
| 411082 | US 10-year Treasury yieldUSA | 2026-10-01 | 5.24 percent | counter | DGS10 | 2026-10-05 00:04 UTC |
| 411081 | US 10-year Treasury yieldUSA | 2026-09-30 | 5.29 percent | counter | DGS10 | 2026-10-05 00:04 UTC |
| 411204 | US Department of Defense contract obligationsUSA | 2025-10-01 | 373.65B US dollars | counter | spending_over_time:dod-contracts | 2026-10-05 00:07 UTC |
| 411203 | US Department of Defense contract obligationsUSA | 2024-10-01 | 491.78B US dollars | counter | spending_over_time:dod-contracts | 2026-10-05 00:07 UTC |
| 410816 | US average hourly earnings, all private employeesUSA | 2026-09-01 | 37.81 US dollars per hour | supporting | CES0500000003 | 2026-10-05 00:03 UTC |
| 410815 | US average hourly earnings, all private employeesUSA | 2026-08-01 | 37.76 US dollars per hour | supporting | CES0500000003 | 2026-10-05 00:03 UTC |
| 409148 | US consumer price index, all itemsUSA | 2026-08-01 | 334.13 index 1982-1984=100 | supporting | CPIAUCSL | 2026-09-14 00:04 UTC |
| 167372 | US consumer price index, all itemsUSA | 2026-07-01 | 332.81 index 1982-1984=100 | supporting | CPIAUCSL | 2026-09-07 09:53 UTC |
| 411216 | US federal contract obligationsUSA | 2025-10-01 | 729.56B US dollars | counter | spending_over_time:contracts | 2026-10-05 00:07 UTC |
| 411215 | US federal contract obligationsUSA | 2024-10-01 | 778.53B US dollars | counter | spending_over_time:contracts | 2026-10-05 00:07 UTC |
| 410817 | US federal funds effective rateUSA | 2026-09-01 | 3.75 percent | supporting | FEDFUNDS | 2026-10-05 00:03 UTC |
| 169072 | US federal funds effective rateUSA | 2026-08-01 | 3.63 percent | supporting | FEDFUNDS | 2026-09-07 09:53 UTC |
| 411217 | US federal heavy and civil engineering construction contract obligationsUSA | 2025-10-01 | 16.16B US dollars | supporting | spending_over_time:heavy-civil-construction | 2026-10-05 00:07 UTC |
| 410597 | US federal heavy and civil engineering construction contract obligationsUSA | 2024-10-01 | 14.12B US dollars | supporting | spending_over_time:heavy-civil-construction | 2026-09-28 00:08 UTC |
| 410852 | US nonfarm payroll employmentUSA | 2026-09-01 | 159,044 thousands of persons | supporting | PAYEMS | 2026-10-05 00:04 UTC |
| 410851 | US nonfarm payroll employmentUSA | 2026-08-01 | 159,015 thousands of persons | supporting | PAYEMS | 2026-10-05 00:04 UTC |
| 410774 | US real GDPUSA | 2026-04-01 | 24,408.01 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rate | supporting | NIPA/T10106/A191RX | 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC |
| 410773 | US real GDPUSA | 2026 | 24,274.38 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rate | supporting | NIPA/T10106/A191RX | 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC |
| 410752 | US real private fixed investmentUSA | 2026-04-01 | 4,645.79 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rate | supporting | NIPA/T10106/A007RX | 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC |
| 410751 | US real private fixed investmentUSA | 2026 | 4,560.29 billions of chained 2017 dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rate | supporting | NIPA/T10106/A007RX | 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC |
| 410392 | US total business inventoriesUSA | 2026-07-01 | 2.76M millions of dollars | supporting | BUSINV | 2026-09-21 00:04 UTC |
| 410391 | US total business inventoriesUSA | 2026-06-01 | 2.74M millions of dollars | supporting | BUSINV | 2026-09-21 00:04 UTC |
| 411088 | US unemployment rateUSA | 2026-09-01 | 4.2 percent | supporting | UNRATE | 2026-10-05 00:04 UTC |
| 213832 | US unemployment rateUSA | 2026-08-01 | 4.1 percent | supporting | UNRATE | 2026-09-07 09:53 UTC |
Feature packet (full inputs to the score)
{
"as_of": "2025-10-01",
"change": {
"pct": 0.135649,
"value": 6585675477.290001,
"observation_ids": [
411205,
272268
]
},
"latest": {
"id": 411205,
"value": 55135013856.16,
"period": "2025-10-01"
},
"metric": {
"id": "9687e167-4be6-45a1-a6e2-6929d88a7e5f",
"kind": "observed",
"name": "US Department of Energy contract obligations",
"slug": "us-doe-contract-obligations",
"unit": "US dollars",
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "annual",
"category_id": "3f71939e-fa36-4d46-99a2-703ce2a7b9ab",
"category_name": "Economy & Capital",
"category_slug": "economy",
"geography_default": "USA",
"frequency_normalised": "annual"
},
"rarity": {
"prior_max": {
"id": 272268,
"value": 48549338378.87,
"period": "2024-10-01"
},
"prior_min": {
"id": 272256,
"value": 23928151303.57,
"period": "2012-10-01"
},
"abs_change": 6585675477.290001,
"all_time_low": false,
"largest_ever": false,
"window_years": 20,
"all_time_high": true,
"window_periods": 20,
"last_larger_move": {
"change": 7445743517.32,
"period": "2008-10-01",
"observation_ids": [
272252,
272251
]
},
"largest_in_window": false,
"periods_since_larger_move": 17
},
"scores": {
"rarity": 0.895,
"breadth": 0.6522,
"surprise": 0.6934,
"centrality": 0,
"acceleration": 0.3331,
"forecast_impact": 0,
"public_attention": 0,
"bottleneck_impact": 0
},
"breadth": {
"via": "category",
"share": 0.6522,
"related": [
{
"via": "category",
"name": "Consumer price inflation (IMF WEO)",
"slug": "imf-inflation",
"unit": "percent change",
"change": -0.222604,
"latest": {
"id": 356291,
"value": 2.729506,
"period": "2025-01-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 356290,
"value": 2.95211,
"period": "2024-01-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "annual",
"metric_id": "1e18548a-6c31-401b-a001-a3970c8cf813",
"change_pct": -0.075405,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "Current account balance (IMF WEO)",
"slug": "imf-current-account-balance",
"unit": "percent of GDP",
"change": -0.708905,
"latest": {
"id": 342513,
"value": -4.045665,
"period": "2024-01-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 342512,
"value": -3.33676,
"period": "2023-01-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "annual",
"metric_id": "025362e9-07fa-4ead-bd6d-b7ebe14aab52",
"change_pct": -0.212453,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "GDP per person, constant 2015 US$",
"slug": "gdp-per-person",
"unit": "constant 2015 US$ per person",
"change": 1089.10148,
"latest": {
"id": 49154,
"value": 67945.6146497427,
"period": "2025-01-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 49155,
"value": 66856.5131698371,
"period": "2024-01-01"
},
"direction": "higher_better",
"frequency": "annual",
"metric_id": "3bd181ab-ad4f-4d1f-b404-0759f53e7053",
"change_pct": 0.01629,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "General government gross debt (IMF WEO)",
"slug": "imf-government-gross-debt",
"unit": "percent of GDP",
"change": 1.616685,
"latest": {
"id": 348353,
"value": 123.886351,
"period": "2025-01-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 348352,
"value": 122.269666,
"period": "2024-01-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "annual",
"metric_id": "b6142a59-5c69-4bdd-a234-05161d215673",
"change_pct": 0.013222,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "Gross capital formation as share of GDP",
"slug": "gross-capital-formation-share",
"unit": "percent of GDP",
"change": -0.037546,
"latest": {
"id": 60180,
"value": 21.5325967668865,
"period": "2024-01-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 60181,
"value": 21.5701430454153,
"period": "2023-01-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "annual",
"metric_id": "82a89136-2f44-4cd4-b53e-1516ab3edbb6",
"change_pct": -0.001741,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "Labor hours per 100 gallons of gasoline",
"slug": "labor-hours-per-100-gallons-gasoline",
"unit": "hours",
"change": 0.77,
"latest": {
"id": 411232,
"value": 11.517,
"period": "2026-09-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 411231,
"value": 10.747,
"period": "2026-08-01"
},
"direction": "lower_better",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "505c96a1-c55d-4042-beaf-d63e5a71a9d1",
"change_pct": 0.071648,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "Labor hours per CPI basket, indexed to 2007",
"slug": "labor-hours-cpi-basket-indexed",
"unit": "hours per 2007 hour-basket",
"change": 0.0007,
"latest": {
"id": 411229,
"value": 0.8923,
"period": "2026-08-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 411228,
"value": 0.8916,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"direction": "lower_better",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "26090d82-eb1a-4f52-b3d3-9e6c055bf386",
"change_pct": 0.000785,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
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}Component labels: Statistical surprise, Acceleration, Breadth, Graph centrality, Forecast impact, Bottleneck impact, Historical rarity, Public attention. Each stored score keeps this packet so it can be recomputed without the database.