HUMANITYVECTOR

Newsletter · issue 12

US consumer price index, all items's largest rise since 2026, and 7 more moves

3 insights, 5 moves and 12 sources refreshed since 2026-10-16.

sent 2026-10-20 13:01 UTC

Observations from the latest period include unusually large changes in several US price indexes. The data are consistent with similar patterns in related measures. A reader might examine the associated source updates for additional detail.

Insights

Biggest moves

  • Cereal yieldWorldObserved

    Fell 6.5% in 2024, the largest drop on record.

    3,954.95 kg per hectare in 2024 · -274.33 kg per hectare (-6.5%) · from 4,229.28 in 2023

    observations 2945, 412161 · score 694

  • Rose 4.7% in 2026-06-01, the largest rise since 2025.

    14.48 cents per kilowatthour in 2026-06-01 · +0.65 cents per kilowatthour (+4.7%) · from 13.83 in 2026-05-01

    observations 410784, 245923 · score 649

  • Fell 32.9% in 2026-08-01, the largest drop since 2026.

    743.4 MW in 2026-08-01 · -364.3 MW (-32.9%) · from 1,107.7 in 2026-07-01

    observations 410640, 398336 · score 654

  • Rose 6.0% in 2025, the largest rise since 2022.

    89.18 US dollars per hour, current prices and PPPs in 2025 · +5.06 US dollars per hour, current prices and PPPs (+6.0%) · from 84.12 in 2024

    observations 391719, 391720 · score 729

  • Fell 30.7% in 2026-08-01, the largest drop since 2026.

    1,292.9 MW in 2026-08-01 · -574 MW (-30.7%) · from 1,866.9 in 2026-07-01

    observations 410672, 410671 · score 657

Featured chart

Under-5 mortality by region. Small multiples chart of East Asia & Pacific (deaths per 1,000 live births), Europe & Central Asia (deaths per 1,000 live births), Latin America & Caribbean (deaths per 1,000 live births), Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan (deaths per 1,000 live births), North America (deaths per 1,000 live births), South Asia (deaths per 1,000 live births), Sub-Saharan Africa (deaths per 1,000 live births), 1990 to 2024. Under-5 mortality rate in 2024: highest Sub-Saharan Africa at 71.2 deaths per 1,000 live births, lowest North America at 6.4 deaths per 1,000 live births. Data table below.

Under-5 mortality rate in 2024: highest Sub-Saharan Africa at 71.2 deaths per 1,000 live births, lowest North America at 6.4 deaths per 1,000 live births.Observed

What to watch

- The next US consumer price index, all items observation (2026-10-01): a change no larger than the median monthly change of +0.24 index 1982-1984=100, or a move back the other way, would mean the latest change has normalised. - Current account balance (IMF WEO), currently -3.81 percent of GDP in 2025: a move the other way lowers the breadth component. - GDP per person, constant 2015 US$, currently 67,945.61 constant 2015 US$ per person in 2025: a move the other way lowers the breadth component. - General government gross debt (IMF WEO), currently 124.38 percent of GDP in 2025: a move the other way lowers the breadth component. - Revisions: a revised 2026-09-01 value would arrive as a new ob

The full insight, with its evidence table

New or refreshed data

Observed values are published by the cited source and ingested without transformation. Derived values come from a versioned formula over observed values. Modeled values depend on assumptions and are labelled as such.

The opening paragraph was drafted by a language model from the items in this issue and checked so that every number in it appears below; it is modeled text. Everything else is templated from stored data.

window 2026-10-16 to 2026-10-20 · 3 insights, 8 scores, 10 observations, 13 ingestion runs cited

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