HUMANITYVECTOR

Newsletter · issue 14

US total public debt outstanding's largest rise since 2026, and 5 more moves

1 insight, 5 moves and 12 sources refreshed since 2026-10-23.

sent 2026-10-27 13:01 UTC

Since 2026-10-23, 1 insight was published, 5 metrics moved enough to rank and 12 sources were refreshed. Each figure below links to the page that shows its source, series, period and history.

Insights

Biggest moves

  • Cereal yieldWorldObserved

    Fell 6.5% in 2024, the largest drop on record.

    3,954.95 kg per hectare in 2024 · -274.33 kg per hectare (-6.5%) · from 4,229.28 in 2023

    observations 2945, 412161 · score 814

  • Rose 0.6% in 2026-09-01, the largest rise since 2026.

    336.3 index 1982-1984=100 in 2026-09-01 · +2.17 index 1982-1984=100 (+0.6%) · from 334.13 in 2026-08-01

    observations 415538, 409148 · score 856

  • Rose 4.7% in 2026-06-01, the largest rise since 2025.

    14.48 cents per kilowatthour in 2026-06-01 · +0.65 cents per kilowatthour (+4.7%) · from 13.83 in 2026-05-01

    observations 410784, 245923 · score 769

  • US consumer price index, energyUnited StatesObserved

    Rose 5.2% in 2026-09-01, the largest rise since 2026.

    337.83 index 1982-1984=100 in 2026-09-01 · +16.69 index 1982-1984=100 (+5.2%) · from 321.15 in 2026-08-01

    observations 415394, 409142 · score 770

  • Fell 32.9% in 2026-08-01, the largest drop since 2026.

    743.4 MW in 2026-08-01 · -364.3 MW (-32.9%) · from 1,107.7 in 2026-07-01

    observations 410640, 398336 · score 774

Featured chart

US consumer prices, all items and energy, since 2000. Indexed comparison chart of CPI all items (index (2000-01-01 = 100)), CPI energy (index (2000-01-01 = 100)), 2000 to 2026. By 2026-09-01 in United States, with 2000-01-01 = 100, CPI all items at 198.64 and CPI energy at 293.77. Data table below.

By 2026-09-01 in United States, with 2000-01-01 = 100, CPI all items at 198.64 and CPI energy at 293.77.Derived

What to watch

- The next US total public debt outstanding observation (2026-10-23): a change no larger than the median daily change of +869,778,306 US dollars, or a move back the other way, would mean the latest change has normalised. - US federal outlays, monthly, currently 584,774,866,340 US dollars in 2026-09-01: a move the other way lowers the breadth component. - US federal receipts, monthly, currently 557,874,519,238 US dollars in 2026-09-01: a move the other way lowers the breadth component. - Revisions: a revised 2026-10-22 value would arrive as a new observation row (the current row is observation 420687) and trigger a rescore. - Expiry: this insight expires 30 days after discovery unless a newer

The full insight, with its evidence table

New or refreshed data

Observed values are published by the cited source and ingested without transformation. Derived values come from a versioned formula over observed values. Modeled values depend on assumptions and are labelled as such.

window 2026-10-23 to 2026-10-27 · 1 insights, 6 scores, 10 observations, 13 ingestion runs cited

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