HUMANITYVECTOR

Newsletter · issue 16

US total public debt outstanding's largest rise since 2026, and 7 more moves

3 insights, 5 moves and 12 sources refreshed since 2026-10-30.

sent 2026-11-03 13:01 UTC

Recent dashboard observations include unusually large monthly increases in US generation capacity additions for solar and battery storage. The data are consistent with continued expansion in those categories. A reader might examine the updates on consumer price indexes and labour productivity for additional detail.

Insights

Biggest moves

  • Cereal yieldWorldObserved

    Fell 6.5% in 2024, the largest drop on record.

    3,954.95 kg per hectare in 2024 · -274.33 kg per hectare (-6.5%) · from 4,229.28 in 2023

    observations 2945, 412161 · score 934

  • Rose 0.6% in 2026-09-01, the largest rise since 2026.

    336.3 index 1982-1984=100 in 2026-09-01 · +2.17 index 1982-1984=100 (+0.6%) · from 334.13 in 2026-08-01

    observations 415538, 409148 · score 976

  • US consumer price index, energyUnited StatesObserved

    Rose 5.2% in 2026-09-01, the largest rise since 2026.

    337.83 index 1982-1984=100 in 2026-09-01 · +16.69 index 1982-1984=100 (+5.2%) · from 321.15 in 2026-08-01

    observations 415394, 409142 · score 890

  • Rose 6.0% in 2025, the largest rise since 2022.

    89.18 US dollars per hour, current prices and PPPs in 2025 · +5.06 US dollars per hour, current prices and PPPs (+6.0%) · from 84.12 in 2024

    observations 391719, 391720 · score 969

  • Rose 68.7% in 2026-09-01, the largest rise since 2026.

    5,185.4 MW in 2026-09-01 · +2,112.2 MW (+68.7%) · from 3,073.2 in 2026-08-01

    observations 420773, 420772 · score 893

Featured chart

US retail electricity price, residential and industrial. Line chart of Residential (cents per kilowatthour), Industrial (cents per kilowatthour), 2001 to 2026. Residential rose from 7.73 cents per kilowatthour in 2001-01-01 to 18.31 cents per kilowatthour in 2026-07-01; industrial rose from 4.75 cents per kilowatthour in 2001-01-01 to 9.77 cents per kilowatthour in 2026-07-01 (United States). Data table below.

Residential rose from 7.73 cents per kilowatthour in 2001-01-01 to 18.31 cents per kilowatthour in 2026-07-01; industrial rose from 4.75 cents per kilowatthour in 2001-01-01 to 9.77 cents per kilowatthour in 2026-07-01 (United States).Observed

What to watch

- The next US total public debt outstanding observation (2026-10-30): a change no larger than the median daily change of +870,910,228 US dollars, or a move back the other way, would mean the latest change has normalised. - US federal outlays, monthly, currently 584,774,866,340 US dollars in 2026-09-01: a move the other way lowers the breadth component. - US federal receipts, monthly, currently 557,874,519,238 US dollars in 2026-09-01: a move the other way lowers the breadth component. - Revisions: a revised 2026-10-29 value would arrive as a new observation row (the current row is observation 420995) and trigger a rescore. - Expiry: this insight expires 30 days after discovery unless a newer

The full insight, with its evidence table

New or refreshed data

Observed values are published by the cited source and ingested without transformation. Derived values come from a versioned formula over observed values. Modeled values depend on assumptions and are labelled as such.

The opening paragraph was drafted by a language model from the items in this issue and checked so that every number in it appears below; it is modeled text. Everything else is templated from stored data.

window 2026-10-30 to 2026-11-03 · 3 insights, 8 scores, 10 observations, 15 ingestion runs cited

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