US generation capacity additions, battery storage · United States · as of 2026-08-01
US generation capacity additions, battery storage (United States) fell 32.89% in 2026-08-01, an unusually large monthly move
US generation capacity additions, battery storage for United States was 743.4 MW in 2026-08-01, down 364.3 MW (-32.89%) from 1,107.7 in 2026-07-01; that change ranks in the 98th percentile of monthly changes recorded since 1891-01-01.
US generation capacity additions, battery storage
- Latest
- 743.4 in 2026-08-01 obs 410640
- Previous
- 1,107.7 in 2026-07-01 obs 398336
- Change
- -364.3 MW
- History
- 1369 observations, 1891-01-01 to 2026-08-01
Against its own history
- Robust z
- -11.09
- Change percentile
- 98th of 1367 earlier absolute changes
- Value percentile
- 98th of earlier values
- Median change
- 0 (scale 32.86, mean_abs_dev)
- Second difference
- 1,511.2 (z 26.42)
- Slope divergence
- -32.44
- Rarity
- last larger move 1 periods ago (2026-07-01)
Record
- Relevance
- 0.388
- Confidence
- 64%
- Status
- published
- Discovered
- 2026-10-05 00:09 UTC
- Expires
- 2026-11-04 00:09 UTC
- Model
- relevance_v1+insight_text_v1
- Validation
- passed
- Causal level
- candidate
Candidate: no reviewed relationship supports a causal reading. Agreement among metrics is co-movement, not cause.
Relevance components
- Statistical surprise: the latest change of -364.3 MW is -11.1 robust standard deviations from the median monthly change (1367 earlier changes), at the 98th percentile of absolute changes. Component 0.99, weight 0.18, contribution 0.179.
- Acceleration: second-difference z 26.4; short-versus-long slope divergence -32.44. Component 1.00, weight 0.12, contribution 0.120.
- Breadth: 10 of 18 related metrics (same category, Energy) moved in the same direction as of their latest periods; 8 moved the other way. Component 0.56, weight 0.16, contribution 0.089.
- Graph centrality: no graph entity carries a centrality value for this metric yet, so it reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.18, contribution 0.000.
- Historical rarity: the last larger move was 1 periods ago, in 2026-07-01 (window 20 years). Component 0.00, weight 0.08, contribution 0.000.
- Forecast impact: not wired yet; reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.14, contribution 0.000.
- Bottleneck impact: not wired yet; reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.10, contribution 0.000.
- Public attention: not wired yet; reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.04, contribution 0.000.
Relevance (relevance_v1) is the weighted sum of the components: 0.388, against a candidate threshold of 0.30.
What changed and how unusual it is
What changed. The latest current observation for US generation capacity additions, battery storage, United States, is 743.4 MW for 2026-08-01 (obs 410640). The previous period, 2026-07-01, recorded 1,107.7 MW (obs 398336). The change is -364.3 MW, or -32.89%. The metric is classified as contextual, so the change carries no better or worse reading on its own.
How unusual. Against the 1367 earlier monthly changes since 1891-01-01, the median change is 0 MW and the robust spread (scaled mean absolute deviation) is 32.86, giving a robust z-score of -11.1. The absolute change sits at the 98th percentile of earlier absolute changes; the value itself sits at the 98th percentile of earlier values. The last larger move was -1,875.5 MW in 2026-07-01 (obs 398336, obs 398335), 1 periods ago.
Acceleration. The change in the change (second difference) is +1,511.2 MW, a robust z of 26.4 against earlier second differences. The slope over the last 3 periods is -1,119.9 MW per period against -53.72 over the last 10, a divergence of -32.44 change-scale units.
Templated from stored numbers, no AI. Citations link to the evidence table below.
Modeled interpretation
Explanation
The data record US generation capacity additions, battery storage at 743.4 MW for 2026-08-01 [observation:410640] after 1107.7 MW for 2026-07-01 [observation:398336]. The same series showed 2983.2 MW for 2026-06-01 [observation:398335]. Total US generation capacity additions stood at 2849.2 MW for 2026-08-01 [observation:410638] and 2984.6 MW for 2026-07-01 [observation:410637]. The model estimates mark the August move as an outlier relative to recent months.
Alternative explanation (skeptic pass)
The data are consistent with normal month-to-month variation in project completion timing.
Why now
The August observation became available and triggered the rarity and acceleration scores supplied with the metric.
What to watch
Next monthly value for US generation capacity additions, battery storage [observation:410640]; US planned generation capacity, battery storage [observation:410676].
Supporting metrics
No graph relationships cited; related metrics were found by shared category.
What points the other way
8 related metrics moved the other way as of their latest periods:
- US average retail electricity price: +0.65 cents per kilowatthour (+4.70%) to 14.48 cents per kilowatthour in 2026-06-01 (obs 410784, obs 245923)
- US consumer price index, energy: +6.6 index 1982-1984=100 (+2.10%) to 321.15 index 1982-1984=100 in 2026-08-01 (obs 409142, obs 239965)
- US electric net summer capacity: +5.88 million kilowatts (+0.45%) to 1,310.44 million kilowatts in 2026-06-01 (obs 410776, obs 241167)
- US electricity net generation: +44,980.76 million kilowatthours (+12.68%) to 399,671.29 million kilowatthours in 2026-06-01 (obs 410783, obs 245396)
- US generation capacity additions, natural gas: +218.4 MW (+2184.00%) to 228.4 MW in 2026-08-01 (obs 410646, obs 399704)
- US generation capacity additions, wind: +569.5 MW to 569.5 MW in 2026-08-01 (obs 410675, obs 403808)
- US planned generation retirements: +18.8 MW (+1566.67%) to 20 MW in 2072-08-01 (obs 403974, obs 403973)
- US primary energy consumption: +273.98 trillion Btu (+3.69%) to 7,702.12 trillion Btu in 2026-06-01 (obs 410806, obs 410805)
3 related metrics have no comparable change and did not count either way.
Limits: the score compares period-over-period changes of current rows only; earlier vintages are not compared. Related metrics were found by shared category, not by a tested mechanism, so agreement among them does not establish cause.
- US average retail electricity price moved against this insight.
- US consumer price index, energy moved against this insight.
- US electric net summer capacity moved against this insight.
- US electricity net generation moved against this insight.
- US generation capacity additions, natural gas moved against this insight.
- US generation capacity additions, wind moved against this insight.
- US planned generation retirements moved against this insight.
- US primary energy consumption moved against this insight.
Measurable indicators
- The next US generation capacity additions, battery storage observation (2026-09-01): a change no larger than the median monthly change of 0 MW, or a move back the other way, would mean the latest change has normalised.
- Natural gas futures: managed-money net position, currently -132,799 contracts in 2026-09-29 (obs 411182): a move the other way lowers the breadth component.
- US generation capacity additions, currently 2,849.2 MW in 2026-08-01 (obs 410638): a move the other way lowers the breadth component.
- US generation capacity additions, solar, currently 1,292.9 MW in 2026-08-01 (obs 410672): a move the other way lowers the breadth component.
- Revisions: a revised 2026-08-01 value would arrive as a new observation row (the current row is observation 410640) and trigger a rescore.
- Expiry: this insight expires 30 days after discovery unless a newer period supersedes it, and earlier if the relevance score falls below the threshold.
Every number links here
| Observation | Metric | Period | Value | Role | Series | Ingested |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410640 | US generation capacity additions, battery storageUSA | 2026-08-01 | 743.4 MW | primary | additions:battery_storage | 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC |
| 398336 | US generation capacity additions, battery storageUSA | 2026-07-01 | 1,107.7 MW | primary | additions:battery_storage | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 398335 | US generation capacity additions, battery storageUSA | 2026-06-01 | 2,983.2 MW | context | additions:battery_storage | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 396969 | US generation capacity additions, battery storageUSA | 1891-01-01 | 0 MW | context | additions:battery_storage | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 411182 | Natural gas futures: managed-money net positionUSA | 2026-09-29 | -132,799 contracts | supporting | 72hh-3qpy:023651 | 2026-10-05 00:04 UTC |
| 410568 | Natural gas futures: managed-money net positionUSA | 2026-09-22 | -65,547 contracts | supporting | 72hh-3qpy:023651 | 2026-09-28 00:05 UTC |
| 34846 | Population with access to electricityUSA | 2024 | 100 percent of population | context | EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | 2026-09-07 05:31 UTC |
| 34847 | Population with access to electricityUSA | 2023 | 100 percent of population | context | EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | 2026-09-07 05:31 UTC |
| 410784 | US average retail electricity priceUSA | 2026-06-01 | 14.48 cents per kilowatthour | counter | ESTCUUS | 2026-10-05 00:02 UTC |
| 245923 | US average retail electricity priceUSA | 2026-05-01 | 13.83 cents per kilowatthour | counter | ESTCUUS | 2026-09-07 09:54 UTC |
| 409142 | US consumer price index, energyUSA | 2026-08-01 | 321.15 index 1982-1984=100 | counter | CUSR0000SA0E | 2026-09-14 00:01 UTC |
| 239965 | US consumer price index, energyUSA | 2026-07-01 | 314.55 index 1982-1984=100 | counter | CUSR0000SA0E | 2026-09-07 09:53 UTC |
| 410776 | US electric net summer capacityUSA | 2026-06-01 | 1,310.44 million kilowatts | counter | ELGBPUS | 2026-10-05 00:00 UTC |
| 241167 | US electric net summer capacityUSA | 2026-05-01 | 1,304.57 million kilowatts | counter | ELGBPUS | 2026-09-07 09:54 UTC |
| 410783 | US electricity net generationUSA | 2026-06-01 | 399,671.29 million kilowatthours | counter | ELETPUS | 2026-10-05 00:02 UTC |
| 245396 | US electricity net generationUSA | 2026-05-01 | 354,690.53 million kilowatthours | counter | ELETPUS | 2026-09-07 09:54 UTC |
| 410638 | US generation capacity additionsUSA | 2026-08-01 | 2,849.2 MW | supporting | additions:total | 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC |
| 410637 | US generation capacity additionsUSA | 2026-07-01 | 2,984.6 MW | supporting | additions:total | 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC |
| 410646 | US generation capacity additions, natural gasUSA | 2026-08-01 | 228.4 MW | counter | additions:natural_gas | 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC |
| 399704 | US generation capacity additions, natural gasUSA | 2026-07-01 | 10 MW | counter | additions:natural_gas | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 410662 | US generation capacity additions, nuclearUSA | 2026-08-01 | 0 MW | context | additions:nuclear | 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC |
| 401072 | US generation capacity additions, nuclearUSA | 2026-07-01 | 0 MW | context | additions:nuclear | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 410672 | US generation capacity additions, solarUSA | 2026-08-01 | 1,292.9 MW | supporting | additions:solar | 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC |
| 410671 | US generation capacity additions, solarUSA | 2026-07-01 | 1,866.9 MW | supporting | additions:solar | 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC |
| 410675 | US generation capacity additions, windUSA | 2026-08-01 | 569.5 MW | counter | additions:wind | 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC |
| 403808 | US generation capacity additions, windUSA | 2026-07-01 | 0 MW | counter | additions:wind | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 410680 | US planned generation capacityUSA | 2026-08-01 | 288,543.9 MW | supporting | planned:total | 2026-10-01 00:01 UTC |
| 403873 | US planned generation capacityUSA | 2026-07-01 | 291,137.9 MW | supporting | planned:total | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 410676 | US planned generation capacity, battery storageUSA | 2026-08-01 | 64,402.9 MW | supporting | planned:battery_storage | 2026-10-01 00:01 UTC |
| 403821 | US planned generation capacity, battery storageUSA | 2026-07-01 | 65,262 MW | supporting | planned:battery_storage | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 410677 | US planned generation capacity, natural gasUSA | 2026-08-01 | 69,448.1 MW | supporting | planned:natural_gas | 2026-10-01 00:01 UTC |
| 403834 | US planned generation capacity, natural gasUSA | 2026-07-01 | 69,676.5 MW | supporting | planned:natural_gas | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 410678 | US planned generation capacity, nuclearUSA | 2026-08-01 | 4,968 MW | context | planned:nuclear | 2026-10-01 00:01 UTC |
| 403847 | US planned generation capacity, nuclearUSA | 2026-07-01 | 4,968 MW | context | planned:nuclear | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 410679 | US planned generation capacity, solarUSA | 2026-08-01 | 122,259.4 MW | supporting | planned:solar | 2026-10-01 00:01 UTC |
| 403860 | US planned generation capacity, solarUSA | 2026-07-01 | 123,180.9 MW | supporting | planned:solar | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 410681 | US planned generation capacity, windUSA | 2026-08-01 | 23,753.9 MW | supporting | planned:wind | 2026-10-01 00:01 UTC |
| 403886 | US planned generation capacity, windUSA | 2026-07-01 | 24,323.4 MW | supporting | planned:wind | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403974 | US planned generation retirementsUSA | 2072-08-01 | 20 MW | counter | retirements:planned | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403973 | US planned generation retirementsUSA | 2065-12-01 | 1.2 MW | counter | retirements:planned | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 410806 | US primary energy consumptionUSA | 2026-06-01 | 7,702.12 trillion Btu | counter | TETCBUS | 2026-10-05 00:03 UTC |
| 410805 | US primary energy consumptionUSA | 2026-05-01 | 7,428.14 trillion Btu | counter | TETCBUS | 2026-10-05 00:03 UTC |
| 410818 | US regular gasoline retail priceUSA | 2026-09-28 | 4.47 US dollars per gallon | supporting | GASREGW | 2026-10-05 00:03 UTC |
| 410508 | US regular gasoline retail priceUSA | 2026-09-21 | 4.48 US dollars per gallon | supporting | GASREGW | 2026-09-28 00:04 UTC |
| 411180 | WTI crude oil futures: managed-money net positionUSA | 2026-09-29 | 79,592 contracts | supporting | 72hh-3qpy:067651 | 2026-10-05 00:04 UTC |
| 410566 | WTI crude oil futures: managed-money net positionUSA | 2026-09-22 | 101,828 contracts | supporting | 72hh-3qpy:067651 | 2026-09-28 00:05 UTC |
Feature packet (full inputs to the score)
{
"as_of": "2026-08-01",
"change": {
"pct": -0.32888,
"value": -364.3,
"observation_ids": [
410640,
398336
]
},
"latest": {
"id": 410640,
"value": 743.4,
"period": "2026-08-01"
},
"metric": {
"id": "04596896-7bd3-4a3b-86f9-1316df346a76",
"kind": "observed",
"name": "US generation capacity additions, battery storage",
"slug": "us-generation-capacity-additions-battery-storage",
"unit": "MW",
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"category_id": "e2b3c9f2-3475-4c3f-bfae-b89fe28a341e",
"category_name": "Energy",
"category_slug": "energy",
"geography_default": "USA",
"frequency_normalised": "monthly"
},
"rarity": {
"prior_max": {
"id": 398335,
"value": 2983.2,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
"prior_min": {
"id": 396969,
"value": 0,
"period": "1891-01-01"
},
"abs_change": 364.3,
"all_time_low": false,
"largest_ever": false,
"window_years": 20,
"all_time_high": false,
"window_periods": 240,
"last_larger_move": {
"change": -1875.5,
"period": "2026-07-01",
"observation_ids": [
398336,
398335
]
},
"largest_in_window": false,
"periods_since_larger_move": 1
},
"scores": {
"rarity": 0.0029,
"breadth": 0.5556,
"surprise": 0.9937,
"centrality": 0,
"acceleration": 1,
"forecast_impact": 0,
"public_attention": 0,
"bottleneck_impact": 0
},
"breadth": {
"via": "category",
"share": 0.5556,
"related": [
{
"via": "category",
"name": "Natural gas futures: managed-money net position",
"slug": "cot-natural-gas-managed-money-net",
"unit": "contracts",
"change": -67252,
"latest": {
"id": 411182,
"value": -132799,
"period": "2026-09-29"
},
"previous": {
"id": 410568,
"value": -65547,
"period": "2026-09-22"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "weekly",
"metric_id": "d586ac7a-7590-47d1-a7ba-39bc8c578b74",
"change_pct": -1.026012,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "Population with access to electricity",
"slug": "electricity-access",
"unit": "percent of population",
"change": 0,
"latest": {
"id": 34846,
"value": 100,
"period": "2024-01-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 34847,
"value": 100,
"period": "2023-01-01"
},
"direction": "higher_better",
"frequency": "annual",
"metric_id": "a4f2f4c6-0df2-4e49-958d-b19169dd81de",
"change_pct": 0,
"consistent": null,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US average retail electricity price",
"slug": "us-electricity-retail-price",
"unit": "cents per kilowatthour",
"change": 0.65,
"latest": {
"id": 410784,
"value": 14.48,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 245923,
"value": 13.83,
"period": "2026-05-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "6ab59fbd-f866-4bb1-a13d-7243cbec12b6",
"change_pct": 0.046999,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US consumer price index, energy",
"slug": "us-cpi-energy",
"unit": "index 1982-1984=100",
"change": 6.595,
"latest": {
"id": 409142,
"value": 321.148,
"period": "2026-08-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 239965,
"value": 314.553,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "7b24046c-bfd1-4b8b-b180-90bbc83bbd6b",
"change_pct": 0.020966,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US electric net summer capacity",
"slug": "us-electric-net-summer-capacity",
"unit": "million kilowatts",
"change": 5.877,
"latest": {
"id": 410776,
"value": 1310.444,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 241167,
"value": 1304.567,
"period": "2026-05-01"
},
"direction": "higher_better",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "b5d93e82-4824-4255-a06f-f08bc1b9ccf1",
"change_pct": 0.004505,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US electricity net generation",
"slug": "us-electricity-net-generation",
"unit": "million kilowatthours",
"change": 44980.759,
"latest": {
"id": 410783,
"value": 399671.285,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 245396,
"value": 354690.526,
"period": "2026-05-01"
},
"direction": "higher_better",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "5ed23e8f-ae35-4193-a385-c6225c16aa05",
"change_pct": 0.126817,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US generation capacity additions",
"slug": "us-generation-capacity-additions",
"unit": "MW",
"change": -135.4,
"latest": {
"id": 410638,
"value": 2849.2,
"period": "2026-08-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 410637,
"value": 2984.6,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "022316df-5782-4725-8042-596e16793322",
"change_pct": -0.045366,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US generation capacity additions, natural gas",
"slug": "us-generation-capacity-additions-natural-gas",
"unit": "MW",
"change": 218.4,
"latest": {
"id": 410646,
"value": 228.4,
"period": "2026-08-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 399704,
"value": 10,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "62edd549-e50a-4795-9640-b0888338bf90",
"change_pct": 21.84,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US generation capacity additions, nuclear",
"slug": "us-generation-capacity-additions-nuclear",
"unit": "MW",
"change": 0,
"latest": {
"id": 410662,
"value": 0,
"period": "2026-08-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 401072,
"value": 0,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "573d20ff-a35d-42d9-a7ab-359965dd60cd",
"change_pct": null,
"consistent": null,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US generation capacity additions, solar",
"slug": "us-generation-capacity-additions-solar",
"unit": "MW",
"change": -574,
"latest": {
"id": 410672,
"value": 1292.9,
"period": "2026-08-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 410671,
"value": 1866.9,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "3bb03897-e28b-476c-896d-fc2c3844893a",
"change_pct": -0.307462,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US generation capacity additions, wind",
"slug": "us-generation-capacity-additions-wind",
"unit": "MW",
"change": 569.5,
"latest": {
"id": 410675,
"value": 569.5,
"period": "2026-08-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 403808,
"value": 0,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "e1eff007-cb80-4eab-a953-e0f4c0e1176b",
"change_pct": null,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US planned generation capacity",
"slug": "us-planned-generation-capacity-total",
"unit": "MW",
"change": -2594,
"latest": {
"id": 410680,
"value": 288543.9,
"period": "2026-08-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 403873,
"value": 291137.9,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "ff3851cf-7365-40eb-93fc-eeaf76cbc289",
"change_pct": -0.00891,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US planned generation capacity, battery storage",
"slug": "us-planned-generation-capacity-battery-storage",
"unit": "MW",
"change": -859.1,
"latest": {
"id": 410676,
"value": 64402.9,
"period": "2026-08-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 403821,
"value": 65262,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "e16e6457-f439-47b7-9ceb-f7056ee8a4fb",
"change_pct": -0.013164,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US planned generation capacity, natural gas",
"slug": "us-planned-generation-capacity-natural-gas",
"unit": "MW",
"change": -228.4,
"latest": {
"id": 410677,
"value": 69448.1,
"period": "2026-08-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 403834,
"value": 69676.5,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "d75e3e45-1b44-4896-adbe-867ab8cca721",
"change_pct": -0.003278,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US planned generation capacity, nuclear",
"slug": "us-planned-generation-capacity-nuclear",
"unit": "MW",
"change": 0,
"latest": {
"id": 410678,
"value": 4968,
"period": "2026-08-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 403847,
"value": 4968,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "0c169581-eab3-4313-8eec-e84c3b5ceb22",
"change_pct": 0,
"consistent": null,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US planned generation capacity, solar",
"slug": "us-planned-generation-capacity-solar",
"unit": "MW",
"change": -921.5,
"latest": {
"id": 410679,
"value": 122259.4,
"period": "2026-08-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 403860,
"value": 123180.9,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "870e77c2-1312-4225-a38f-b9ad1c439ff4",
"change_pct": -0.007481,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US planned generation capacity, wind",
"slug": "us-planned-generation-capacity-wind",
"unit": "MW",
"change": -569.5,
"latest": {
"id": 410681,
"value": 23753.9,
"period": "2026-08-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 403886,
"value": 24323.4,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "d7da1333-2ba2-4d48-badc-b43c73e1ce65",
"change_pct": -0.023414,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US planned generation retirements",
"slug": "us-planned-generation-retirements",
"unit": "MW",
"change": 18.8,
"latest": {
"id": 403974,
"value": 20,
"period": "2072-08-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 403973,
"value": 1.2,
"period": "2065-12-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "f8bccc80-2f53-4337-aefa-164533d81b60",
"change_pct": 15.666667,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US primary energy consumption",
"slug": "us-primary-energy-consumption",
"unit": "trillion Btu",
"change": 273.977,
"latest": {
"id": 410806,
"value": 7702.118,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 410805,
"value": 7428.141,
"period": "2026-05-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "94568d06-0d57-46b5-9a49-897b922dd51e",
"change_pct": 0.036884,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US regular gasoline retail price",
"slug": "us-gasoline-regular-price",
"unit": "US dollars per gallon",
"change": -0.013,
"latest": {
"id": 410818,
"value": 4.465,
"period": "2026-09-28"
},
"previous": {
"id": 410508,
"value": 4.478,
"period": "2026-09-21"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "weekly",
"metric_id": "77ab54ef-a4d4-4f95-8a7f-74b7db4e054c",
"change_pct": -0.002903,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "WTI crude oil futures: managed-money net position",
"slug": "cot-crude-oil-managed-money-net",
"unit": "contracts",
"change": -22236,
"latest": {
"id": 411180,
"value": 79592,
"period": "2026-09-29"
},
"previous": {
"id": 410566,
"value": 101828,
"period": "2026-09-22"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "weekly",
"metric_id": "a0209d54-abd4-4177-991d-8d5c1e6d7f65",
"change_pct": -0.218368,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
}
],
"opposite": 8,
"comparable": 18,
"consistent": 10
},
"history": {
"count": 1369,
"last_period": "2026-08-01",
"change_count": 1368,
"first_period": "1891-01-01"
},
"version": "features_v1",
"previous": {
"id": 398336,
"value": 1107.7,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"surprise": {
"note": null,
"scale": 32.861673,
"robust_z": -11.0859,
"mad_change": 0,
"change_count": 1367,
"scale_method": "mean_abs_dev",
"median_change": 0,
"value_percentile": 0.9788,
"abs_change_percentile": 0.9792
},
"geography": {
"id": "47c911a6-27c0-47d8-9471-9ac075e5be26",
"code": "USA",
"name": "United States"
},
"centrality": {
"value": 0,
"source": "none",
"entity_ids": [],
"entity_slugs": []
},
"acceleration": {
"note": null,
"long_slope": -53.724848,
"long_window": 10,
"short_slope": -1119.9,
"short_window": 3,
"slope_divergence": -32.4443,
"second_difference": 1511.2,
"second_difference_z": 26.418,
"long_observation_ids": [
398328,
398329,
398330,
398331,
410639,
398333,
398334,
398335,
398336,
410640
],
"short_observation_ids": [
398335,
398336,
410640
]
},
"series_window": [
{
"id": 398298,
"value": 171.6,
"period": "2023-05-01"
},
{
"id": 398299,
"value": 915.9,
"period": "2023-06-01"
},
{
"id": 398300,
"value": 1635,
"period": "2023-07-01"
},
{
"id": 398301,
"value": 486.4,
"period": "2023-08-01"
},
{
"id": 398302,
"value": 654.5,
"period": "2023-09-01"
},
{
"id": 398303,
"value": 253.9,
"period": "2023-10-01"
},
{
"id": 398304,
"value": 472.3,
"period": "2023-11-01"
},
{
"id": 398305,
"value": 2033.5,
"period": "2023-12-01"
},
{
"id": 398306,
"value": 300,
"period": "2024-01-01"
},
{
"id": 398307,
"value": 35.9,
"period": "2024-02-01"
},
{
"id": 398308,
"value": 1046.4,
"period": "2024-03-01"
},
{
"id": 398309,
"value": 497.3,
"period": "2024-04-01"
},
{
"id": 398310,
"value": 1157.5,
"period": "2024-05-01"
},
{
"id": 398311,
"value": 1280.4,
"period": "2024-06-01"
},
{
"id": 398312,
"value": 763.2,
"period": "2024-07-01"
},
{
"id": 398313,
"value": 1296.8,
"period": "2024-08-01"
},
{
"id": 398314,
"value": 840.7,
"period": "2024-09-01"
},
{
"id": 398315,
"value": 773.8,
"period": "2024-10-01"
},
{
"id": 398316,
"value": 873,
"period": "2024-11-01"
},
{
"id": 398317,
"value": 2199.8,
"period": "2024-12-01"
},
{
"id": 398318,
"value": 346.1,
"period": "2025-01-01"
},
{
"id": 398319,
"value": 533.9,
"period": "2025-02-01"
},
{
"id": 398320,
"value": 1025.3,
"period": "2025-03-01"
},
{
"id": 398321,
"value": 1323.5,
"period": "2025-04-01"
},
{
"id": 398322,
"value": 1812.7,
"period": "2025-05-01"
},
{
"id": 398323,
"value": 1714.7,
"period": "2025-06-01"
},
{
"id": 398324,
"value": 1675.3,
"period": "2025-07-01"
},
{
"id": 398325,
"value": 1054.9,
"period": "2025-08-01"
},
{
"id": 398326,
"value": 998.3,
"period": "2025-09-01"
},
{
"id": 398327,
"value": 1676.8,
"period": "2025-10-01"
},
{
"id": 398328,
"value": 1332.2,
"period": "2025-11-01"
},
{
"id": 398329,
"value": 2861.3,
"period": "2025-12-01"
},
{
"id": 398330,
"value": 950.4,
"period": "2026-01-01"
},
{
"id": 398331,
"value": 1081.9,
"period": "2026-02-01"
},
{
"id": 410639,
"value": 1670.1,
"period": "2026-03-01"
},
{
"id": 398333,
"value": 1721.3,
"period": "2026-04-01"
},
{
"id": 398334,
"value": 580.1,
"period": "2026-05-01"
},
{
"id": 398335,
"value": 2983.2,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
{
"id": 398336,
"value": 1107.7,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
{
"id": 410640,
"value": 743.4,
"period": "2026-08-01"
}
],
"forecast_impact": {
"value": 0,
"source": "not_wired"
},
"public_attention": {
"value": 0,
"source": "not_wired"
},
"bottleneck_impact": {
"value": 0,
"source": "not_wired"
}
}Component labels: Statistical surprise, Acceleration, Breadth, Graph centrality, Forecast impact, Bottleneck impact, Historical rarity, Public attention. Each stored score keeps this packet so it can be recomputed without the database.