US planned generation capacity, battery storage · United States · as of 2026-07-01
US planned generation capacity, battery storage (United States) rose 4.86% in 2026-07-01, a move against the usual direction
US planned generation capacity, battery storage for United States was 65,262 MW in 2026-07-01, up 3,023.7 MW (+4.86%) from 62,238.3 in 2026-06-01; that change ranks in the 82nd percentile of monthly changes recorded since 2025-07-01.
US planned generation capacity, battery storage
- Latest
- 65,262 in 2026-07-01 obs 403821
- Previous
- 62,238.3 in 2026-06-01 obs 403820
- Change
- +3,023.7 MW
- History
- 13 observations, 2025-07-01 to 2026-07-01
Against its own history
- Robust z
- 3.69
- Change percentile
- 82nd of 11 earlier absolute changes
- Value percentile
- 50th of earlier values
- Median change
- -653.9 (scale 997.94, mad)
- Second difference
- 3,415.5 (z 1.30)
- Slope divergence
- 1.70
- Rarity
- last larger move 4 periods ago (2026-03-01)
Record
- Relevance
- 0.310
- Confidence
- 51%
- Status
- published
- Discovered
- 2026-09-14 00:12 UTC
- Expires
- 2026-10-14 00:12 UTC
- Model
- relevance_v1+insight_text_v1
- Validation
- passed
- Causal level
- candidate
Candidate: no reviewed relationship supports a causal reading. Agreement among metrics is co-movement, not cause.
Relevance components
- Statistical surprise: the latest change of +3,023.7 MW is 3.7 robust standard deviations from the median monthly change (11 earlier changes), at the 82nd percentile of absolute changes. Component 0.89, weight 0.18, contribution 0.160.
- Acceleration: second-difference z 1.3; short-versus-long slope divergence 1.70. Component 0.42, weight 0.12, contribution 0.051.
- Breadth: 11 of 18 related metrics (same category, Energy) moved in the same direction as of their latest periods; 7 moved the other way. Component 0.61, weight 0.16, contribution 0.098.
- Graph centrality: no graph entity carries a centrality value for this metric yet, so it reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.18, contribution 0.000.
- Historical rarity: the last larger move was 4 periods ago, in 2026-03-01 (window 20 years). Component 0.01, weight 0.08, contribution 0.001.
- Forecast impact: not wired yet; reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.14, contribution 0.000.
- Bottleneck impact: not wired yet; reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.10, contribution 0.000.
- Public attention: not wired yet; reads 0. Component 0.00, weight 0.04, contribution 0.000.
Relevance (relevance_v1) is the weighted sum of the components: 0.310, against a candidate threshold of 0.30.
What changed and how unusual it is
What changed. The latest current observation for US planned generation capacity, battery storage, United States, is 65,262 MW for 2026-07-01 (obs 403821). The previous period, 2026-06-01, recorded 62,238.3 MW (obs 403820). The change is +3,023.7 MW, or +4.86%. The metric is classified as contextual, so the change carries no better or worse reading on its own.
How unusual. Against the 11 earlier monthly changes since 2025-07-01, the median change is -653.9 MW and the robust spread (scaled median absolute deviation) is 997.94, giving a robust z-score of 3.7. The absolute change sits at the 82nd percentile of earlier absolute changes; the value itself sits at the 50th percentile of earlier values. The last larger move was +3,815.9 MW in 2026-03-01 (obs 403817, obs 403816), 4 periods ago.
Acceleration. The change in the change (second difference) is +3,415.5 MW, a robust z of 1.3 against earlier second differences. The slope over the last 3 periods is +1,315.95 MW per period against -383.51 over the last 10, a divergence of 1.70 change-scale units.
Templated from stored numbers, no AI. Citations link to the evidence table below.
Modeled interpretation
Explanation
The data show US planned generation capacity, battery storage at 65262 MW on 2026-07-01 [observation:403821] after 62238.3 MW on 2026-06-01 [observation:403820]. The data are consistent with continued growth in the planned queue that also reached 65106.4 MW in March 2026 [observation:403817] and 61290.5 MW in February 2026 [observation:403816]. Related observed additions for battery storage stood at 1107.7 MW in July 2026 [observation:398336].
Alternative explanation (skeptic pass)
The increase may reflect routine updates to project timelines rather than a sustained acceleration.
Why now
The move registered a surprise_robust_z of 3.6852 and occurred after four periods without a larger change.
What to watch
Subsequent readings of US planned generation capacity, battery storage [observation:403821] and monthly battery storage additions [observation:398336].
Supporting metrics
| Metric | Latest | Change | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| US consumer price index, energycategory | 321.15 index 1982-1984=100 (2026-08-01) | +6.6 (+2.10%) | obs 409142, obs 239965 |
| US electric net summer capacitycategory | 1,304.57 million kilowatts (2026-05-01) | +7.18 (+0.55%) | obs 241167, obs 241166 |
| US electricity net generationcategory | 354,690.53 million kilowatthours (2026-05-01) | +23,984.01 (+7.25%) | obs 245396, obs 245395 |
| US planned generation capacitycategory | 291,137.9 MW (2026-07-01) | +5,471.9 (+1.92%) | obs 403873, obs 403872 |
| US planned generation capacity, natural gascategory | 69,676.5 MW (2026-07-01) | +1,381.4 (+2.02%) | obs 403834, obs 403833 |
| US planned generation capacity, solarcategory | 123,180.9 MW (2026-07-01) | +847.6 (+0.69%) | obs 403860, obs 403859 |
| US planned generation capacity, windcategory | 24,323.4 MW (2026-07-01) | +219.2 (+0.91%) | obs 403886, obs 403885 |
| US planned generation retirementscategory | 20 MW (2072-08-01) | +18.8 (+1566.67%) | obs 403974, obs 403973 |
| US primary energy consumptioncategory | 7,414.83 trillion Btu (2026-05-01) | +107.86 (+1.48%) | obs 248499, obs 248498 |
| US regular gasoline retail pricecategory | 4.16 US dollars per gallon (2026-09-07) | +0.086 (+2.11%) | obs 409150, obs 395600 |
| WTI crude oil futures: managed-money net positioncategory | 111,731 contracts (2026-09-08) | +17,450 (+18.51%) | obs 409188, obs 269064 |
No graph relationships cited; related metrics were found by shared category.
What points the other way
7 related metrics moved the other way as of their latest periods:
- Natural gas futures: managed-money net position: -7,261 contracts (-8.11%) to -96,742 contracts in 2026-09-08 (obs 409190, obs 271176)
- US average retail electricity price: -0.05 cents per kilowatthour (-0.36%) to 13.83 cents per kilowatthour in 2026-05-01 (obs 245923, obs 245922)
- US generation capacity additions: -3,311.9 MW (-52.63%) to 2,981.1 MW in 2026-07-01 (obs 396968, obs 396967)
- US generation capacity additions, battery storage: -1,875.5 MW (-62.87%) to 1,107.7 MW in 2026-07-01 (obs 398336, obs 398335)
- US generation capacity additions, natural gas: -287 MW (-96.63%) to 10 MW in 2026-07-01 (obs 399704, obs 399703)
- US generation capacity additions, solar: -525 MW (-21.98%) to 1,863.4 MW in 2026-07-01 (obs 402440, obs 402439)
- US generation capacity additions, wind: -616 MW (-100.00%) to 0 MW in 2026-07-01 (obs 403808, obs 403807)
3 related metrics have no comparable change and did not count either way.
Limits: the score compares period-over-period changes of current rows only; earlier vintages are not compared. Related metrics were found by shared category, not by a tested mechanism, so agreement among them does not establish cause. The history is short (11 earlier changes), which makes the percentile and z readings coarse.
- Natural gas futures: managed-money net position moved against this insight.
- US average retail electricity price moved against this insight.
- US generation capacity additions moved against this insight.
- US generation capacity additions, battery storage moved against this insight.
- US generation capacity additions, natural gas moved against this insight.
- US generation capacity additions, solar moved against this insight.
- US generation capacity additions, wind moved against this insight.
Measurable indicators
- The next US planned generation capacity, battery storage observation (2026-08-01): a change no larger than the median monthly change of -653.9 MW, or a move back the other way, would mean the latest change has normalised.
- US consumer price index, energy, currently 321.15 index 1982-1984=100 in 2026-08-01 (obs 409142): a move the other way lowers the breadth component.
- US electric net summer capacity, currently 1,304.57 million kilowatts in 2026-05-01 (obs 241167): a move the other way lowers the breadth component.
- US electricity net generation, currently 354,690.53 million kilowatthours in 2026-05-01 (obs 245396): a move the other way lowers the breadth component.
- Revisions: a revised 2026-07-01 value would arrive as a new observation row (the current row is observation 403821) and trigger a rescore.
- Expiry: this insight expires 30 days after discovery unless a newer period supersedes it, and earlier if the relevance score falls below the threshold.
Every number links here
| Observation | Metric | Period | Value | Role | Series | Ingested |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 403821 | US planned generation capacity, battery storageUSA | 2026-07-01 | 65,262 MW | primary | planned:battery_storage | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403820 | US planned generation capacity, battery storageUSA | 2026-06-01 | 62,238.3 MW | primary | planned:battery_storage | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403817 | US planned generation capacity, battery storageUSA | 2026-03-01 | 65,106.4 MW | context | planned:battery_storage | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403816 | US planned generation capacity, battery storageUSA | 2026-02-01 | 61,290.5 MW | context | planned:battery_storage | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403813 | US planned generation capacity, battery storageUSA | 2025-11-01 | 66,990 MW | context | planned:battery_storage | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 409190 | Natural gas futures: managed-money net positionUSA | 2026-09-08 | -96,742 contracts | counter | 72hh-3qpy:023651 | 2026-09-14 00:06 UTC |
| 271176 | Natural gas futures: managed-money net positionUSA | 2026-09-01 | -89,481 contracts | counter | 72hh-3qpy:023651 | 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC |
| 34846 | Population with access to electricityUSA | 2024 | 100 percent of population | context | EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | 2026-09-07 05:31 UTC |
| 34847 | Population with access to electricityUSA | 2023 | 100 percent of population | context | EG.ELC.ACCS.ZS | 2026-09-07 05:31 UTC |
| 245923 | US average retail electricity priceUSA | 2026-05-01 | 13.83 cents per kilowatthour | counter | ESTCUUS | 2026-09-07 09:54 UTC |
| 245922 | US average retail electricity priceUSA | 2026-04-01 | 13.88 cents per kilowatthour | counter | ESTCUUS | 2026-09-07 09:54 UTC |
| 409142 | US consumer price index, energyUSA | 2026-08-01 | 321.15 index 1982-1984=100 | supporting | CUSR0000SA0E | 2026-09-14 00:01 UTC |
| 239965 | US consumer price index, energyUSA | 2026-07-01 | 314.55 index 1982-1984=100 | supporting | CUSR0000SA0E | 2026-09-07 09:53 UTC |
| 241167 | US electric net summer capacityUSA | 2026-05-01 | 1,304.57 million kilowatts | supporting | ELGBPUS | 2026-09-07 09:54 UTC |
| 241166 | US electric net summer capacityUSA | 2026-04-01 | 1,297.39 million kilowatts | supporting | ELGBPUS | 2026-09-07 09:54 UTC |
| 245396 | US electricity net generationUSA | 2026-05-01 | 354,690.53 million kilowatthours | supporting | ELETPUS | 2026-09-07 09:54 UTC |
| 245395 | US electricity net generationUSA | 2026-04-01 | 330,706.52 million kilowatthours | supporting | ELETPUS | 2026-09-07 09:54 UTC |
| 396968 | US generation capacity additionsUSA | 2026-07-01 | 2,981.1 MW | counter | additions:total | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 396967 | US generation capacity additionsUSA | 2026-06-01 | 6,293 MW | counter | additions:total | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 398336 | US generation capacity additions, battery storageUSA | 2026-07-01 | 1,107.7 MW | counter | additions:battery_storage | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 398335 | US generation capacity additions, battery storageUSA | 2026-06-01 | 2,983.2 MW | counter | additions:battery_storage | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 399704 | US generation capacity additions, natural gasUSA | 2026-07-01 | 10 MW | counter | additions:natural_gas | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 399703 | US generation capacity additions, natural gasUSA | 2026-06-01 | 297 MW | counter | additions:natural_gas | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 401072 | US generation capacity additions, nuclearUSA | 2026-07-01 | 0 MW | context | additions:nuclear | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 401071 | US generation capacity additions, nuclearUSA | 2026-06-01 | 0 MW | context | additions:nuclear | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 402440 | US generation capacity additions, solarUSA | 2026-07-01 | 1,863.4 MW | counter | additions:solar | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 402439 | US generation capacity additions, solarUSA | 2026-06-01 | 2,388.4 MW | counter | additions:solar | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403808 | US generation capacity additions, windUSA | 2026-07-01 | 0 MW | counter | additions:wind | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403807 | US generation capacity additions, windUSA | 2026-06-01 | 616 MW | counter | additions:wind | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403873 | US planned generation capacityUSA | 2026-07-01 | 291,137.9 MW | supporting | planned:total | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403872 | US planned generation capacityUSA | 2026-06-01 | 285,666 MW | supporting | planned:total | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403834 | US planned generation capacity, natural gasUSA | 2026-07-01 | 69,676.5 MW | supporting | planned:natural_gas | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403833 | US planned generation capacity, natural gasUSA | 2026-06-01 | 68,295.1 MW | supporting | planned:natural_gas | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403847 | US planned generation capacity, nuclearUSA | 2026-07-01 | 4,968 MW | context | planned:nuclear | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403846 | US planned generation capacity, nuclearUSA | 2026-06-01 | 4,968 MW | context | planned:nuclear | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403860 | US planned generation capacity, solarUSA | 2026-07-01 | 123,180.9 MW | supporting | planned:solar | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403859 | US planned generation capacity, solarUSA | 2026-06-01 | 122,333.3 MW | supporting | planned:solar | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403886 | US planned generation capacity, windUSA | 2026-07-01 | 24,323.4 MW | supporting | planned:wind | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403885 | US planned generation capacity, windUSA | 2026-06-01 | 24,104.2 MW | supporting | planned:wind | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403974 | US planned generation retirementsUSA | 2072-08-01 | 20 MW | supporting | retirements:planned | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 403973 | US planned generation retirementsUSA | 2065-12-01 | 1.2 MW | supporting | retirements:planned | 2026-09-07 22:01 UTC |
| 248499 | US primary energy consumptionUSA | 2026-05-01 | 7,414.83 trillion Btu | supporting | TETCBUS | 2026-09-07 09:54 UTC |
| 248498 | US primary energy consumptionUSA | 2026-04-01 | 7,306.97 trillion Btu | supporting | TETCBUS | 2026-09-07 09:54 UTC |
| 409150 | US regular gasoline retail priceUSA | 2026-09-07 | 4.16 US dollars per gallon | supporting | GASREGW | 2026-09-14 00:04 UTC |
| 395600 | US regular gasoline retail priceUSA | 2026-08-31 | 4.07 US dollars per gallon | supporting | GASREGW | 2026-09-07 21:58 UTC |
| 409188 | WTI crude oil futures: managed-money net positionUSA | 2026-09-08 | 111,731 contracts | supporting | 72hh-3qpy:067651 | 2026-09-14 00:06 UTC |
| 269064 | WTI crude oil futures: managed-money net positionUSA | 2026-09-01 | 94,281 contracts | supporting | 72hh-3qpy:067651 | 2026-09-07 20:00 UTC |
Feature packet (full inputs to the score)
{
"as_of": "2026-07-01",
"change": {
"pct": 0.048583,
"value": 3023.7,
"observation_ids": [
403821,
403820
]
},
"latest": {
"id": 403821,
"value": 65262,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"metric": {
"id": "e16e6457-f439-47b7-9ceb-f7056ee8a4fb",
"kind": "observed",
"name": "US planned generation capacity, battery storage",
"slug": "us-planned-generation-capacity-battery-storage",
"unit": "MW",
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"category_id": "e2b3c9f2-3475-4c3f-bfae-b89fe28a341e",
"category_name": "Energy",
"category_slug": "energy",
"geography_default": "USA",
"frequency_normalised": "monthly"
},
"rarity": {
"prior_max": {
"id": 403813,
"value": 66990,
"period": "2025-11-01"
},
"prior_min": {
"id": 403816,
"value": 61290.5,
"period": "2026-02-01"
},
"abs_change": 3023.7,
"all_time_low": false,
"largest_ever": false,
"window_years": 20,
"all_time_high": false,
"window_periods": 240,
"last_larger_move": {
"change": 3815.9,
"period": "2026-03-01",
"observation_ids": [
403817,
403816
]
},
"largest_in_window": false,
"periods_since_larger_move": 4
},
"scores": {
"rarity": 0.0117,
"breadth": 0.6111,
"surprise": 0.8904,
"centrality": 0,
"acceleration": 0.4218,
"forecast_impact": 0,
"public_attention": 0,
"bottleneck_impact": 0
},
"breadth": {
"via": "category",
"share": 0.6111,
"related": [
{
"via": "category",
"name": "Natural gas futures: managed-money net position",
"slug": "cot-natural-gas-managed-money-net",
"unit": "contracts",
"change": -7261,
"latest": {
"id": 409190,
"value": -96742,
"period": "2026-09-08"
},
"previous": {
"id": 271176,
"value": -89481,
"period": "2026-09-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "weekly",
"metric_id": "d586ac7a-7590-47d1-a7ba-39bc8c578b74",
"change_pct": -0.081146,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "Population with access to electricity",
"slug": "electricity-access",
"unit": "percent of population",
"change": 0,
"latest": {
"id": 34846,
"value": 100,
"period": "2024-01-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 34847,
"value": 100,
"period": "2023-01-01"
},
"direction": "higher_better",
"frequency": "annual",
"metric_id": "a4f2f4c6-0df2-4e49-958d-b19169dd81de",
"change_pct": 0,
"consistent": null,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US average retail electricity price",
"slug": "us-electricity-retail-price",
"unit": "cents per kilowatthour",
"change": -0.05,
"latest": {
"id": 245923,
"value": 13.83,
"period": "2026-05-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 245922,
"value": 13.88,
"period": "2026-04-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "6ab59fbd-f866-4bb1-a13d-7243cbec12b6",
"change_pct": -0.003602,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US consumer price index, energy",
"slug": "us-cpi-energy",
"unit": "index 1982-1984=100",
"change": 6.595,
"latest": {
"id": 409142,
"value": 321.148,
"period": "2026-08-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 239965,
"value": 314.553,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "7b24046c-bfd1-4b8b-b180-90bbc83bbd6b",
"change_pct": 0.020966,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US electric net summer capacity",
"slug": "us-electric-net-summer-capacity",
"unit": "million kilowatts",
"change": 7.176,
"latest": {
"id": 241167,
"value": 1304.567,
"period": "2026-05-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 241166,
"value": 1297.391,
"period": "2026-04-01"
},
"direction": "higher_better",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "b5d93e82-4824-4255-a06f-f08bc1b9ccf1",
"change_pct": 0.005531,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US electricity net generation",
"slug": "us-electricity-net-generation",
"unit": "million kilowatthours",
"change": 23984.006,
"latest": {
"id": 245396,
"value": 354690.526,
"period": "2026-05-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 245395,
"value": 330706.52,
"period": "2026-04-01"
},
"direction": "higher_better",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "5ed23e8f-ae35-4193-a385-c6225c16aa05",
"change_pct": 0.072524,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US generation capacity additions",
"slug": "us-generation-capacity-additions",
"unit": "MW",
"change": -3311.9,
"latest": {
"id": 396968,
"value": 2981.1,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 396967,
"value": 6293,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "022316df-5782-4725-8042-596e16793322",
"change_pct": -0.526283,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US generation capacity additions, battery storage",
"slug": "us-generation-capacity-additions-battery-storage",
"unit": "MW",
"change": -1875.5,
"latest": {
"id": 398336,
"value": 1107.7,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 398335,
"value": 2983.2,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "04596896-7bd3-4a3b-86f9-1316df346a76",
"change_pct": -0.628687,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US generation capacity additions, natural gas",
"slug": "us-generation-capacity-additions-natural-gas",
"unit": "MW",
"change": -287,
"latest": {
"id": 399704,
"value": 10,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 399703,
"value": 297,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "62edd549-e50a-4795-9640-b0888338bf90",
"change_pct": -0.96633,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US generation capacity additions, nuclear",
"slug": "us-generation-capacity-additions-nuclear",
"unit": "MW",
"change": 0,
"latest": {
"id": 401072,
"value": 0,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 401071,
"value": 0,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "573d20ff-a35d-42d9-a7ab-359965dd60cd",
"change_pct": null,
"consistent": null,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US generation capacity additions, solar",
"slug": "us-generation-capacity-additions-solar",
"unit": "MW",
"change": -525,
"latest": {
"id": 402440,
"value": 1863.4,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 402439,
"value": 2388.4,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "3bb03897-e28b-476c-896d-fc2c3844893a",
"change_pct": -0.219812,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US generation capacity additions, wind",
"slug": "us-generation-capacity-additions-wind",
"unit": "MW",
"change": -616,
"latest": {
"id": 403808,
"value": 0,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 403807,
"value": 616,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "e1eff007-cb80-4eab-a953-e0f4c0e1176b",
"change_pct": -1,
"consistent": false,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US planned generation capacity",
"slug": "us-planned-generation-capacity-total",
"unit": "MW",
"change": 5471.9,
"latest": {
"id": 403873,
"value": 291137.9,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 403872,
"value": 285666,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "ff3851cf-7365-40eb-93fc-eeaf76cbc289",
"change_pct": 0.019155,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US planned generation capacity, natural gas",
"slug": "us-planned-generation-capacity-natural-gas",
"unit": "MW",
"change": 1381.4,
"latest": {
"id": 403834,
"value": 69676.5,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 403833,
"value": 68295.1,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "d75e3e45-1b44-4896-adbe-867ab8cca721",
"change_pct": 0.020227,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US planned generation capacity, nuclear",
"slug": "us-planned-generation-capacity-nuclear",
"unit": "MW",
"change": 0,
"latest": {
"id": 403847,
"value": 4968,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 403846,
"value": 4968,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "0c169581-eab3-4313-8eec-e84c3b5ceb22",
"change_pct": 0,
"consistent": null,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US planned generation capacity, solar",
"slug": "us-planned-generation-capacity-solar",
"unit": "MW",
"change": 847.6,
"latest": {
"id": 403860,
"value": 123180.9,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 403859,
"value": 122333.3,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "870e77c2-1312-4225-a38f-b9ad1c439ff4",
"change_pct": 0.006929,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US planned generation capacity, wind",
"slug": "us-planned-generation-capacity-wind",
"unit": "MW",
"change": 219.2,
"latest": {
"id": 403886,
"value": 24323.4,
"period": "2026-07-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 403885,
"value": 24104.2,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "d7da1333-2ba2-4d48-badc-b43c73e1ce65",
"change_pct": 0.009094,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US planned generation retirements",
"slug": "us-planned-generation-retirements",
"unit": "MW",
"change": 18.8,
"latest": {
"id": 403974,
"value": 20,
"period": "2072-08-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 403973,
"value": 1.2,
"period": "2065-12-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "f8bccc80-2f53-4337-aefa-164533d81b60",
"change_pct": 15.666667,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US primary energy consumption",
"slug": "us-primary-energy-consumption",
"unit": "trillion Btu",
"change": 107.859,
"latest": {
"id": 248499,
"value": 7414.832,
"period": "2026-05-01"
},
"previous": {
"id": 248498,
"value": 7306.973,
"period": "2026-04-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "monthly",
"metric_id": "94568d06-0d57-46b5-9a49-897b922dd51e",
"change_pct": 0.014761,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "US regular gasoline retail price",
"slug": "us-gasoline-regular-price",
"unit": "US dollars per gallon",
"change": 0.086,
"latest": {
"id": 409150,
"value": 4.157,
"period": "2026-09-07"
},
"previous": {
"id": 395600,
"value": 4.071,
"period": "2026-08-31"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "weekly",
"metric_id": "77ab54ef-a4d4-4f95-8a7f-74b7db4e054c",
"change_pct": 0.021125,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
},
{
"via": "category",
"name": "WTI crude oil futures: managed-money net position",
"slug": "cot-crude-oil-managed-money-net",
"unit": "contracts",
"change": 17450,
"latest": {
"id": 409188,
"value": 111731,
"period": "2026-09-08"
},
"previous": {
"id": 269064,
"value": 94281,
"period": "2026-09-01"
},
"direction": "contextual",
"frequency": "weekly",
"metric_id": "a0209d54-abd4-4177-991d-8d5c1e6d7f65",
"change_pct": 0.185085,
"consistent": true,
"relationship_ids": []
}
],
"opposite": 7,
"comparable": 18,
"consistent": 11
},
"history": {
"count": 13,
"last_period": "2026-07-01",
"change_count": 12,
"first_period": "2025-07-01"
},
"version": "features_v1",
"previous": {
"id": 403820,
"value": 62238.3,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
"surprise": {
"note": null,
"scale": 997.93806,
"robust_z": 3.6852,
"mad_change": 673.1,
"change_count": 11,
"scale_method": "mad",
"median_change": -653.9,
"value_percentile": 0.5,
"abs_change_percentile": 0.8182
},
"geography": {
"id": "47c911a6-27c0-47d8-9471-9ac075e5be26",
"code": "USA",
"name": "United States"
},
"centrality": {
"value": 0,
"source": "none",
"entity_ids": [],
"entity_slugs": []
},
"acceleration": {
"note": null,
"long_slope": -383.514545,
"long_window": 10,
"short_slope": 1315.95,
"short_window": 3,
"slope_divergence": 1.703,
"second_difference": 3415.5,
"second_difference_z": 1.298,
"long_observation_ids": [
403812,
403813,
403814,
403815,
403816,
403817,
403818,
403819,
403820,
403821
],
"short_observation_ids": [
403819,
403820,
403821
]
},
"series_window": [
{
"id": 403809,
"value": 66207.9,
"period": "2025-07-01"
},
{
"id": 403810,
"value": 65362.9,
"period": "2025-08-01"
},
{
"id": 403811,
"value": 66636,
"period": "2025-09-01"
},
{
"id": 403812,
"value": 66655.2,
"period": "2025-10-01"
},
{
"id": 403813,
"value": 66990,
"period": "2025-11-01"
},
{
"id": 403814,
"value": 65856.4,
"period": "2025-12-01"
},
{
"id": 403815,
"value": 65005.2,
"period": "2026-01-01"
},
{
"id": 403816,
"value": 61290.5,
"period": "2026-02-01"
},
{
"id": 403817,
"value": 65106.4,
"period": "2026-03-01"
},
{
"id": 403818,
"value": 63284,
"period": "2026-04-01"
},
{
"id": 403819,
"value": 62630.1,
"period": "2026-05-01"
},
{
"id": 403820,
"value": 62238.3,
"period": "2026-06-01"
},
{
"id": 403821,
"value": 65262,
"period": "2026-07-01"
}
],
"forecast_impact": {
"value": 0,
"source": "not_wired"
},
"public_attention": {
"value": 0,
"source": "not_wired"
},
"bottleneck_impact": {
"value": 0,
"source": "not_wired"
}
}Component labels: Statistical surprise, Acceleration, Breadth, Graph centrality, Forecast impact, Bottleneck impact, Historical rarity, Public attention. Each stored score keeps this packet so it can be recomputed without the database.